Daily Morning Session Forecast | 2026.07.13 07:50

Yesterday’s Review
Yesterday, the key BTC watershed was 63,750~63,900. In the past 24 hours, the lowest was about 63,640. After briefly breaking below, it recovered to around 63,800, but it failed to hold above 64,500, which was a case of partial profit-taking. The key ETH watershed was 1,780~1,790. After the low around 1,780, it returned above 1,800 and followed a path that confirmed the move. ETH continued to outperform BTC, but altcoins were still in local rotation, with the timing partly playing out.
Today’s Overall Call
BTC is undergoing weak-ranging consolidation, while ETH is biased to the upside for repair. However, the two have not yet formed a unified upward force. The U.S. June CPI will be released tomorrow evening Beijing time; before key data, capital is usually more cautious. Today’s altcoin strategy is mainly defensive and selective—don’t chase intraday spikes. Only if BTC holds 64,250~64,500 and ETH simultaneously breaks 1,827~1,840 does the basis for risk-on continuation and broader diffusion exist.
BTC
Current price is about 63,800, and the past 24-hour range is about 63,640~64,290. The 1-hour chart is below the Bollinger midline, with MACD green histogram expanding, so the short-term remains weak. The 4-hour chart is slightly below EMA20 but still above EMA50; the repair structure hasn’t been broken, but momentum is declining. The daily chart is above EMA20 but still below EMA50, so at a large-timeframe level it can only be defined as a repair after a sell-off.
Short-term support is 63,600~63,800, with stronger support at 63,200~63,450. Short-term resistance is 64,250~64,500, with stronger resistance at 65,000~65,400. Today’s watershed is 63,800~64,000: reclaiming 64,000 gives a chance to retest 64,500. If it keeps breaking below 63,600, first watch for a pullback to 63,300. In terms of execution, don’t chase the rebound; wait for support to stop the decline or for a pullback confirmation after a breakout.
ETH
Current price is about 1,807, and the past 24-hour range is about 1,780~1,827. The 1-hour chart is near the Bollinger midline; MACD momentum is cooling, and there is still overhead supply above 1,820. The 4-hour chart is above EMA20 and EMA50, so the structure is stronger than BTC, but upside momentum is also cooling. The daily chart is currently confirming around EMA50 near 1,800; the short-term is strong but not suitable for chasing.
Short-term support is 1,790~1,800, with stronger support at 1,765~1,780. Short-term resistance is 1,825~1,840, with stronger resistance at 1,860~1,880. Today’s watershed is 1,790~1,800: if it holds, it can still test 1,827~1,840. If it holds above 1,840 on increased volume, the repair room may open. If it breaks below 1,790, first look for bids around 1,770.
Altcoin Correlation
Only if BTC holds 63,600 and recovers 64,250, and ETH breaks above 1,827, will altcoins have conditions to shift from local rotation toward cautious aggression. If BTC keeps breaking below 63,600, or ETH loses 1,790, altcoins should first shrink risk exposure. Before important data, low-liquidity coins are especially not suitable for chasing.
Trading Principles
Today, don’t chase; prioritize waiting for confirmation at support. For existing positions, watch BTC at 63,600 and ETH at 1,790. For those in cash, wait for a pullback after a pressure breakout, or clear a stop at strong support levels. If it breaks below the watershed, reduce risk first; if it holds above resistance, then look for the repair to continue. For complete observation pool levels and single-coin strategies, rely on subscribing to quick reports or group documentation.
Risk Warning
The above is only a market scenario analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Digital assets have extremely high volatility—watch your position size and stop-losses.