7.13 Monday morning

BTC is holding steady, while ETH is the standout rising sharply. This kind of divergence makes me a bit on alert.

After waking up and quickly scanning the market this morning, my heart skipped a beat. BTC is still grinding around $64,000, with 24-hour fluctuations of less than 0.4%, but ETH quietly climbed 2.13%, breaking above $1,820.

This combination signal is one I know too well—when BTC doesn’t move, retail investors usually don’t dare to act recklessly; but if ETH leads the way against the backdrop in this situation, it’s either a small-scale test ahead of a market turning point, or someone is quietly positioning in the dark, with coins changing hands.

My conclusion: neutral to slightly bullish in the short term, but absolutely don’t be impulsive. The reason is simple—BTC hasn’t seen volume expansion. This $64,000 area has been grinding for almost a week; without real incremental money flowing in, ETH alone pulling the index with a single lone spike isn’t solid, and it could reverse at any time.

Suggestions:
BTC: around $64,700–$65,000, blank
Target: around $63,000–$63,400, blank
ETH: around $1,850–$1,870, blank
Target: around $1,780–$1,800, blank
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