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2026.7.12 weekend—just a quick chat about the current trend and situation
That night, 62,947 people went bankrupt to zero, with $128 million being looted; the US and Iran continue to escalate their conflict, and there’s a trend toward returning to March levels. The only good thing is that the market reaction is relatively calm right now—no especially huge pump or dump—so the indicators are still behaving normally!
BTC
Support 60,450 / 58,450
Resistance for now 65,850-67,135 / 71,000
Stay in a tight range without making moves; when we do, go long on the dip. The early-morning idea I gave yesterday was to push up and then take a small short—there was only about $600-$700 of room. Today, it’s best to observe: watch the market’s strength in the evening and the strength on Monday’s early session. If those two time points don’t make the direction clear, you can check Monday evening;
1h/2h/4h still has some demand for a rebound! Keep watching whether it breaks down!
ETH
Support 1,635 / 1,560
Resistance for now 2,000
The earlier long-position core holdings should continue to hold and keep them at breakeven—stop losses/loss control, just hold!
XAU/XAG for the coming week: downside is expected, but there’s a need for a push higher; on the weekend, keep going long on these after the dip!
Let the new market trend play out come Monday—like US stocks and so on. On Monday evening, look for an opportunity and see!
Trading advice doesn’t constitute any investment guidance: the US-Iran side is again in a situation of repeatedly trading shots in the short term. Oil prices also have a need to push higher—keep an eye on crude oil opportunities; gold—if you don’t dip, don’t act. Don’t be in a hurry;
Hold spot positions well—just wait for our target zone. Futures are still the same earlier core positions; besides ORCL and XAG core positions still holding, positions are not large, and we’ll keep executing the original plan. Next week’s live stream will follow up, too. Today I’m spending the day with my family—brothers, we’ll go for it together on Monday and Friday!
#美伊战争阴云再起