📊 July 12 Market Morning Reading | CPI countdown: 2 days—hold your position tight, don’t make random moves

——Guanlan · CloudEnjoy Research Institute

【Real-time Prices】

₿ BTC $63,800 Trading range 63,000–65,000

Ξ ETH $1,790 The strongest major coin recently

◎ SOL $77 Range-bound consolidation, waiting for direction

Ł LTC $44.8 Sideways with no clear signal

🥇 XAU $4,110 Broke below $4,131 support—short-term bias is bearish

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【Core Node · The most important day of the week is Monday】

🔴 July 14 (Monday) US CPI data release

→ This is the key variable that will determine the short-term direction this cycle

→ Higher than expected = renewed rate-hike pressure, risk assets under pressure

→ Lower than expected = the market can breathe again; BTC may be able to challenge 65,000+

【Technical Outlook】

BTC 4H SuperTrend 63,169 🟢 The larger trend’s uptrend remains intact

BTC 1H ST 64,405; the current price is below ⚠️

→ Interpretation: short-term pullback; the bigger trend hasn’t broken, so this is not a reversal signal

ETH 1H ST 1,802; the ETH/BTC ratio is forming a W-bottom

→ ETH is relatively strong; last night’s DeFi/L2 signal: LDO +2.2%, OP +1.1%

Gold 4H ST 4,027 holds as support, but the 1H ST has flipped back to green

→ After breaking below $4,131 and retesting the $4,027 support zone, focus is mainly on watching from the sidelines short term

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【US Stock Market Reference】

📈 Dow 53,289 hits a new all-time high

💻 Nasdaq semiconductor remains under ongoing pressure (SOXS +20.86% daily)

→ Funds rotate from semiconductors into healthcare/energy/traditional industries

→ Crypto has a high correlation with Nasdaq semiconductor—watch for linkage risks

【Strategy Moves】

The sale of 3,588 BTC from June 29 to July 5 has been confirmed (about $216 million)

Purpose: to pay preferred stock dividends, not a full liquidation

Still holding 843,775 BTC; the market has already completely absorbed this news

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【Today’s Trading Suggestions · Five-Grids Method perspective】

Core position (30%): continue holding—if 4H ST turns green, that’s a bullish signal

Swing position (20%): if BTC holds 63,000, you can maintain it

Short-term position (10%): before CPI, it’s best to stay in cash—decide after the results come out

Dry powder (20%): wait for CPI results; if it moves downward, use it to add to positions

Living funds (20%): do not move

🎯 Core logic: before CPI, don’t add; before 4H ST breaks down, don’t reduce

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Tonight’s live stream for a detailed breakdown—feel free to chat

📅 Let’s see how the July 14 CPI plays out

(Personal views, not investment advice; DYOR)

‍#BTC #ETH #加密货币 #SuperTrend #CloudEnjoy Research Institute