Daily Pre-Market Forecast | 2026.7.12

Daily Pre-Market Forecast | 2026.07.12 07:50

Yesterday’s recap: Yesterday, BTC’s key pivot level was 63,800~64,000. In the past 24 hours, the range was roughly 63,770~64,460. After the price pulled back to the pivot level, it was still able to reclaim, but it failed to hold above 64,500—indicating partial profit-taking.

For ETH, its key pivot level was 1,780~1,790. In the past 24 hours, the range was roughly 1,785~1,829. After holding, it tested up to 1,829 and confirmed the repair direction, but after making a higher move it slipped back to around 1,790 again. ETH was stronger than BTC at one point; altcoins showed localized bounce, but it didn’t broaden into a full market move. The altcoin momentum was only a partial fulfillment.

As of 07:50 today, the overall assessment: BTC is currently around 63,900, down about 0.36% over the last 24 hours; ETH is around 1,790, down about 0.31% over the last 24 hours. The shared condition is post-rally consolidation and digestion: the 4-hour repair structure hasn’t been broken, but 1-hour momentum is cooling.

Weekend trading volume is relatively low, and with next week’s US inflation data approaching, today is more suitable to wait for confirmation of the key levels. Altcoins should continue to focus on defensive observation; only if BTC reclaims above 64,500 and ETH simultaneously recovers 1,815~1,830 will there be further conditions for risk appetite to spread.

BTC
BTC is currently around 63,900, with a past-24-hours range of roughly 63,770~64,460. In the 1-hour chart, price has returned to the moving-average dense zone; it’s below the Bollinger midline at about 64,180. The MACD red histogram is weakening, and RSI is about 43. In the short term, it’s still digesting yesterday’s breakout high.

On the 4-hour chart, price is still above EMA20 at about 63,700 and EMA50 at about 63,000. MACD remains positive, but RSI is already in high territory, suggesting the structure is biased toward repair and chasing has poor value.

On the daily chart, price is above EMA20 at about 62,860, but still below EMA50 at about 65,300. At the higher timeframe level, this is still the repair phase after a downside move.

Short-term support: 63,700~63,900. Strong support: 63,000~63,300.
Short-term resistance: 64,350~64,500. Strong resistance: 65,000~65,400.

Today’s key pivot level is 63,750~63,900. If it holds, it can continue testing 64,500. Only with increased volume holding above 64,500 will there be conditions to extend upward toward above 65,000. If it breaks below 63,700, first watch for a pullback toward 63,300.

ETH
ETH is currently around 1,790, with a past-24-hours range of roughly 1,785~1,829. In the 1-hour chart, price is below the Bollinger midline at about 1,807. MACD momentum has fallen; RSI is about 48, and sell pressure above 1,820 has already appeared.

On the 4-hour chart, ETH is still above EMA20 at about 1,785 and EMA50 at about 1,755. Its repair structure is stronger than BTC, but short-term indicators are overheated. Continued upward movement needs new trading volume.

On the daily chart, ETH is above EMA20 at about 1,730 and is repeatedly confirming near EMA50 at about 1,800. The trend reversal has not been completed yet.

Short-term support: 1,780~1,790. Strong support: 1,755~1,770.
Short-term resistance: 1,815~1,830. Strong resistance: 1,850~1,870.

Today’s key pivot level is 1,780~1,790. If it holds and reclaims 1,815, altcoins still have room for localized repair. If it breaks below 1,780, first look for stabilization around 1,760, and altcoin momentum will cool at the same time.

Today’s altcoin linkage judgment: ETH’s 4-hour structure is still slightly stronger than BTC’s, but after the high, it failed to hold 1,815, implying capital is more probing than launching a full-scale attack.

If BTC holds 63,750 and breaks back above 64,500, and ETH simultaneously holds above 1,815~1,830, then altcoins would be suitable to shift from defensive observation to a cautious aggressive stance. If either major coin breaks its pivot level, risk should be reduced first.

Public-version trading principle: Today, don’t chase; prioritize waiting for support confirmation. Position holders should watch whether BTC at 63,750 and ETH at 1,780 can hold; empty-position users should wait for confirmation after a pressure breakout, or for a stop-and-reversal signal near strong support. If the pivot level breaks, reduce risk first; once price stabilizes above short-term resistance, then look for continued repair.

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Risk warning: The above content is only a market projection and does not constitute investment advice. Digital assets are highly volatile; manage position size and set stop-losses. The market data timestamp is 2026-07-12 07:50, and prices may change afterward.