Tracking real-time crypto market hot topics and seizing the best execution opportunities—today is Sunday, July 12, 2026. I’m Wang Yibo! Good morning, fellow coin friends! ☀ Punch in for loyal fans 👍 Like and send wealth 🍗🍗🌹🌹

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Overall, the weekend market shows a shrinking-volume, range-bound tug-of-war. Bitcoin repeatedly tests resistance in the 63,500–64,500 range but fails to form a solid breakout; Ethereum is under pressure and oscillates between 1,790–1,830. In the early session, further pullbacks confirmed heavy sell pressure overhead. In an environment with insufficient liquidity, the market cannot sustain an effective breakout. The current direction is still unclear, and we need to wait for next week’s core catalytic factors for guidance. Next week’s focus: the U.S. June CPI data (July 16) for repricing rate-hike expectations, remarks by Fed Chair Woosh in hearings before both the House and Senate, and the progress of the Iran–U.S. conflict and its linkage effects on U.S. stocks, gold, crude oil, and the U.S. Dollar Index. Until BTC effectively breaks above 64,500 or falls below 63,000, and until ETH effectively breaks above 1,850 or falls below 1,750, stick to a range-trading mindset—participate with light position sizing and wait patiently for direction to become clear. Yibo will continue to track macro data, institutional fund flows, and on-chain changes, updating strategies in real time.

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Yesterday, Bitcoin started an oscillating up-move from around 63,600 in the early session. In the late session, driven by incremental buying pressure, the high reached about 64,470, but it then quickly plunged back to around 63,900. After rebounding to 64,400, it saw another downside move with increased volume in the early session again. It has now dropped to around 63,800, forming a short-term top signal of “rallying high followed by a rapid selloff” — “could not hold at the highs.” On the 4-hour timeframe, a long upper wick formed near 64,470; MA7 (around 64,100) was lost. MACD momentum histogram shortened, and RSI has fallen to around 52, weakening short-term bullish momentum. The 64,500 resistance is clear. On the downside, watch support at 63,600–63,500 (yesterday’s low and MA30). If that fails, further downside could be 63,000–62,800 (MA60 and the breakout level). Most likely, the weekend will continue the tug-of-war within the 63,600–64,500 range. If pullbacks find stability at 63,500–63,600, you can lightly go long; if rebounds face pressure at 64,400–64,500, consider a light short with tight risk control. Stay patient and wait for next week’s direction choice. The 64,500 wick-drop happened—support at 63,500 is yet to be tested. The weekend tug-of-war is still ongoing.

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After Ethereum found support around 1,780 yesterday in the early session, it moved upward during the day in a steady, step-by-step manner. In the late session, it started to gain momentum, topping out around 1,830. Then it maintained consolidation at high levels. However, the early-session shorts showed a clear increase, and the price quickly reversed lower. It has now fallen to around 1,790, almost giving back most of yesterday’s gains. From a technical pattern perspective, on the 4-hour timeframe, a high-level consolidation platform formed around 1,830. The early-session selloff on higher volume produced a real bearish candle (a solid-bodied down candle). Price has fallen below MA7 (around 1,805) but is still trading above MA30 (around 1,775), meaning the short-term bullish structure has not been fully broken yet. MACD’s fast and slow lines show a bearish crossover above the zero axis, and the momentum histogram has shortened. RSI has fallen to around 50, indicating short-term momentum has shifted from strong to weak. The current pullback is a “technical repair after a high” and depends mainly on whether the support zone at 1,780–1,765 holds or fails.