In the first few years after I got into crypto, my biggest illusion was thinking I was smarter than everyone else. When I saw others post their profits doubling, my heart would itch like a cat’s claw—I kept feeling like I had to get in, or it would be too late. Back then I traded purely on gut instinct: when it went up, I chased; when it went down, I caught; I pushed my position bigger and bigger, and my eyes were red from sheer intensity. After a few rounds of big market moves, my account didn’t grow much at all—the principal was like a bucket with a leak, and before I realized it, it was already at the bottom.

The worst one was when a one-directional market moved completely against my judgment. In the middle, I could already tell something was off, but I refused to admit it—stubbornly holding on, constantly convincing myself, “Wait a bit longer, it will definitely come back.” In the end, the price ran like a wild horse off the leash, getting farther away the harder I chased. When I finally couldn’t hold on anymore, I cut—one knife, and the loss sliced all the way to the bone. After that cut, I finally understood something truly: the market has never given out trophies just because you’re stubborn. It only follows its own rhythm.

After that, I locked myself away and did a full month of review. I pulled out every losing trade and dissected it layer by layer, like peeling an onion. The pain was real, but it also finally helped me straighten out those deadly problems. Now the only things I have burned into my head are these:

1. Position sizing must be at a level where you can sleep at night. Staying alive always comes before making fast money.
2. Before entering, have an exit plan—if the stop-loss level isn’t figured out, I don’t take the trade. Better miss than make a wrong move.
3. Always go with the bigger trend—don’t wrestle with the market. If you’ve got the direction wrong, the more diligently you act, the worse you’ll lose.
4. “Buying the dip” isn’t “buy because it dropped.” It’s waiting until it has fallen far enough, can’t fall further, and starts stabilizing—then you reach in.
5. When prices rise to the point where everyone is partying, I force myself to step out and look. Frenzy is the best disguise for risk.
6. The most dangerous time is when you’ve been winning in a row—this is when I deliberately press my position size down instead. Once you start getting cocky, the market teaches you a lesson.
7. If you lose money, don’t rush to get it back. That urge to smash everything back in one go is an accelerator toward the abyss.
8. Price moves up, but volume doesn’t keep up—this kind of “fake pump” is, in most cases, a trap.
9. If you can’t make sense of the market, being in cash (no position) isn’t being timid—it’s skill.

Before, I always thought top traders are trading every day and making money every day. Later, after getting to know more, I realized that the people who can consistently profit spend most of their time—waiting. Waiting for their own rhythm to show up.

The market jumps around every day, but not every candlestick is worth pouncing on. Living off trading isn’t about some one-time all-in blast for instant wealth. It’s about compounding built from countless small wins—about locking risk away in every single trade.

Now, I don’t ask, “How much can I make today?” anymore. I just hope that five years from now, ten years from now, when I open my account, that number is still steadily climbing. In this path of trading, what gets you to the end isn’t who’s the smartest—it’s who can endure risk the best.

As long as you’re still at the table, there will always be opportunities. #预测世界杯挪威VS英格兰