Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin said there is still enormous uncertainty about the pace of AGI/ASI development, and whether the future of AI will amount to ordinary technological progress or trigger a superintelligence revolution in 2030 to 2040. He also expressed concern about a trend in which some large AI companies push for global AI decision-making power to be controlled by a small number of institutions, believing that in a “normal technology world” this would set off virtually all political alarms.



Vitalik reiterated his support for the d/acc philosophy, including decentralized defense technology routes such as open source, cryptography, secure hardware, and defensive biotech, and suggested that society set AI risk trigger mechanisms in advance—for example, revisiting measures to slow down or pause AI after triggers such as large-scale unemployment, a super-pandemic, or risks from autonomous weapons emerge.
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QuietRugAlarm
· 7h ago
Open source + cryptography + secure hardware—this combo sounds like it’s putting a firewall on the AI world. The real question is: who’s going to take responsibility at the execution level?
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MorningLightInAGlassBottle
· 7h ago
V神’s analysis here is pretty calm—it doesn’t take sides with extreme optimism or pessimism. Instead, it proposes a d/acc defensive framework, which is kind of interesting.
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Mint-ColoredCalmness
· 7h ago
The fact that a few institutions control AI’s dominant power is, in the eyes of people in the crypto space, an alert at the Red Alert level—Vitalik’s concerns are not exaggerated.
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ALampInMistyValley
· 7h ago
The 2030–2040 time window is quite wide, which suggests he himself isn’t confident either, but the idea of setting up a trigger mechanism in advance is indeed more practical than hard braking.
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