BTC/ETH current market outlook | 2026.07.11 10:33

Yesterday review: BTC’s key pivot yesterday was 62,900~63,100, but the actual past 24-hour range was about 63,757~64,443. It didn’t pull back to test the pivot and instead pushed up to try 64,400, confirming the repair direction. However, the 65,000 heavy resistance level has not been broken yet. ETH’s key pivot yesterday was 1,745~1,755, with the actual range about 1,770~1,803. After it held above that level, it tested 1,800, so the judgment was confirmed. ETH is stronger than BTC; altcoin risk appetite has improved, but it’s not yet an all-out offensive market.
Overall today: BTC at around 63,995, up about 0.38% over the past 24 hours; ETH at around 1,790, up about 1.45% over the past 24 hours. Both are in the pressure-confirmation phase following continued repair. BTC’s 4-hour bias is slightly bullish, while 1-hour momentum is cooling; ETH has reclaimed the daily key moving averages, but around 1,800 there is still selling pressure. Altcoins have adjusted from “doing little” to “cautious observation of repair.” After BTC breaks 64,500 and ETH simultaneously holds above 1,815, the attack pace will be more reliable.
BTC: The 1-hour price is slightly below MA20 around 64,058, but still above MA50 around 63,389. After the short-term spike, it’s digesting gains. On the 4-hour chart, price is above MA20 around 63,086 and MA50 around 62,883; the structure is bullish, but it’s close to overheated. On the daily chart, price is above MA20 around 61,855 and still below MA50 around 65,139—this is repair after a drop. Short-term support is 63,750~63,900, with strong support at 63,000~63,300. Short-term resistance is 64,400~64,600, with strong resistance at 65,000~65,400. The key pivot is 63,800~64,000: if it holds, look for 64,500; if it breaks 63,750, first guard against a pullback to 63,300.
ETH: On the 1-hour chart, it’s near MA20 around 1,790 and above MA50 around 1,765; short-term momentum is slowing. On the 4-hour chart, it’s above MA20 and MA50 around 1,760, and the repair is stronger than BTC. On the daily chart, it has re-established above MA50 around 1,767; the focus is whether 1,800~1,815 can turn into support. Short-term support is 1,780~1,790, with strong support at 1,755~1,770. Short-term resistance is 1,803~1,815, with strong resistance at 1,850~1,865. The key pivot is 1,780~1,790: holding above 1,815 is favorable for altcoins to continue repairing; falling back below 1,770 shifts it to cooling.
Today’s altcoin linkage read: The environment is better than yesterday, but BTC is still below 64,500 and ETH hasn’t held above 1,815. Only suitable for observing strong directions; not suitable for chasing highs across the board. Only when BTC breaks 64,500 and ETH simultaneously holds above 1,815 should you consider further expansion of a local rebound. If BTC breaks 63,750 or ETH falls back below 1,770, prioritize shrinking risk.
Public-version trading principles: Don’t chase resistance levels; wait for pivot confirmation first. Watch holdings: BTC at 63,800 and ETH at 1,780; if you’re in cash, wait for a breakout, then pull back to buy or use strong support for stop. If it breaks the pivot, reduce risk first; if it holds resistance, then look for continuation.
Risk warning: The above is only a market scenario analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Digital asset volatility is extremely high; pay attention to position sizing and stop-loss. Data time is 2026-07-11 10:33.