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- Test of Strategies’ Bitcoin market liquidity resilience:
On Monday, Strategies announced that it had sold 3,588 Bitcoin for $216 million to fund dividend distributions on the “Digital Credit” platform. The news initially weighed negatively on the Bitcoin price, which fell by about 4%. However, “King of Digital Coins” recovered and closed Monday with slight gains, suggesting that the selling pressure has largely been absorbed.
On Tuesday, the “Crypto Finance” website reported that transactions of this size are typically executed over-the-counter (OTC) and are covered by extensive hedges long before they are made public. By the time the market receives the announcement, the underlying exposure has already been absorbed.
The report also noted that Bitcoin’s high liquidity allows it to absorb large transactions without causing major market disruption, which helps explain the short-term price correction.
In an exclusive interview, Dan Chen, an analyst at Bitunix Exchange, told FXStreet: “Strategy has not weakened the Bitcoin treasury model, but contributed to its maturation. Selling part of its holdings was not a sign of lost confidence, but evidence that Bitcoin can function as a liquid treasury asset for companies.”
Even so, Chen remains cautiously bearish on Bitcoin in the near term, pointing to rising U.S. Treasury yields and improved stock returns. Investments and initial public offerings related to artificial intelligence are still offering better returns, while institutional flows remain weak despite a slight improvement in demand for Bitcoin exchange-traded funds. He believes the broader Bitcoin trend will depend on whether global investors increase their allocations to high-risk assets, rather than on the sale by Strategies alone.
Over the long term, Chen expects Bitcoin’s price to stay within a defined range with a slight downward bias this week, as the market still lacks additional meaningful capital and competition for global liquidity remains intense.
“I see the $68,500 level as the key near-term resistance level, while the $62,000 level is the main support level. Unless macroeconomic conditions improve significantly, I expect Bitcoin to end the month down slightly from current levels,” Chen concluded.
$BTC
Bitcoin’s price saw a slight rebound through Friday, trading near $64,000 while holding its strength around the 200-week simple moving average.
The mixed flows into spot exchange-traded funds so far this week point to hesitation as traders analyze the latest Bitcoin selloff by شركة ستراتيجيز.
Geopolitical uncertainty remains in place despite the slight improvement, limiting Bitcoin’s upside.
Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $64,000 level on Friday, continuing its modest recovery while holding above this week’s key technical support zone. Divergent flows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) up to Thursday reflect caution from financial institutions. Meanwhile, traders absorbed news about شركة ستراتيجيز’s recent Bitcoin sale, highlighting Bitcoin’s resilience and high liquidity. Easing tensions between the United States and إيران into the weekend improved risk sentiment, while the fragile situation continued to weigh negatively on market sentiment, limiting the potential for Bitcoin’s price to rise.
- Divergent geopolitical sentiment provides only limited relief for risky assets:
Market sentiment remained mixed and cautious throughout the week, as geopolitical developments in the Middle East continued to influence risk appetite. The week began on a negative note after إيران announced plans to impose a new service fee on vessels transiting the strategically important waterway. Despite strong opposition from the United States, إيران insisted that these fees are for security and vessel oversight and environmental protection, not transit fees.
Investor sentiment deteriorated further on Tuesday after an oil tanker was hit by an unidentified object, later confirmed to be Iranian, as it was transiting the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. forces launched a new wave of strikes against إيران in response to إيران’s attacks on commercial vessels in this strategic waterway.
إيران retaliated by targeting U.S. military facilities and assets in Bahrain and Kuwait. At the same time, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the ceasefire agreement with إيران had “ended,” increasing uncertainty in the markets.
Market anxiety eased later in the week after Trump claimed on Thursday that إيران had contacted the United States to reach an agreement, sparking hopes of easing tensions. This slight improvement in sentiment wiped out earlier-in-the-week Bitcoin losses, as it continued to recover to reach $64,000 on Friday. However, traders should keep an eye on developments in the Middle East, as the fragile situation still poses a risk to market sentiment. Any renewed clashes between the United States and إيران over the weekend could increase selling pressure on risk-sensitive assets such as Bitcoin.
$BTC