- Weekly outlook for Bitcoin: the strategy is selling, and the market doesn’t care.

Bitcoin’s price saw a slight rebound through Friday, trading near $64,000 while holding its strength around the 200-week simple moving average.
The mixed flows into spot exchange-traded funds so far this week point to hesitation as traders analyze the latest Bitcoin selloff by شركة ستراتيجيز.
Geopolitical uncertainty remains in place despite the slight improvement, limiting Bitcoin’s upside.

Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed the $64,000 level on Friday, continuing its modest recovery while holding above this week’s key technical support zone. Divergent flows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) up to Thursday reflect caution from financial institutions. Meanwhile, traders absorbed news about شركة ستراتيجيز’s recent Bitcoin sale, highlighting Bitcoin’s resilience and high liquidity. Easing tensions between the United States and إيران into the weekend improved risk sentiment, while the fragile situation continued to weigh negatively on market sentiment, limiting the potential for Bitcoin’s price to rise.

- Divergent geopolitical sentiment provides only limited relief for risky assets:
Market sentiment remained mixed and cautious throughout the week, as geopolitical developments in the Middle East continued to influence risk appetite. The week began on a negative note after إيران announced plans to impose a new service fee on vessels transiting the strategically important waterway. Despite strong opposition from the United States, إيران insisted that these fees are for security and vessel oversight and environmental protection, not transit fees.

Investor sentiment deteriorated further on Tuesday after an oil tanker was hit by an unidentified object, later confirmed to be Iranian, as it was transiting the Strait of Hormuz. U.S. forces launched a new wave of strikes against إيران in response to إيران’s attacks on commercial vessels in this strategic waterway.

إيران retaliated by targeting U.S. military facilities and assets in Bahrain and Kuwait. At the same time, U.S. President Donald Trump said on Wednesday that the ceasefire agreement with إيران had “ended,” increasing uncertainty in the markets.

Market anxiety eased later in the week after Trump claimed on Thursday that إيران had contacted the United States to reach an agreement, sparking hopes of easing tensions. This slight improvement in sentiment wiped out earlier-in-the-week Bitcoin losses, as it continued to recover to reach $64,000 on Friday. However, traders should keep an eye on developments in the Middle East, as the fragile situation still poses a risk to market sentiment. Any renewed clashes between the United States and إيران over the weekend could increase selling pressure on risk-sensitive assets such as Bitcoin.
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