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#广场预测世界杯赢40000U
The probability of England winning the England - Norway quarter-final match is 58%, Norway winning is 21%, and the probability of the match going to extra time/penalties (draw) is also 21%.
My Polymarket-Style Probability Predictions.
Following the injury crises, the odds in the prediction markets favoring England have balanced out.
* England Wins (90 Minutes): (58% probability)
* Norway Wins (90 Minutes): (21% probability)
* Draw / Extra Time (90 Minutes): (21% probability)
* England Advances (Including Extra Time): (72% probability)
* Norway Advances (Including Extra Time): (28% probability)
The most likely outcome is for England to win the match 2-1 in 90 minutes and advance to the semi-finals.
Despite the illness and injury crises affecting both teams, England's squad depth and tournament experience give them an advantage. Here is a score prediction and reasoning based on the key factors that will determine the course of the match:
Score Prediction: England 2 - 1 Norway (90 Minutes)
* England Missing but Deep: Although the absence of Declan Rice and Marc Guéyi weakens the center of England's defense, Thomas Tuchel has top-level Premier League players to fill these gaps.
* Norway's Outbreak is More Critical: The fact that not only the players but also manager Solbakken is seriously ill in Norway will significantly reduce the team's physical stamina in the second half of the match.
* Haaland Won't Miss a Goal: Erling Haaland will punish England's changing defensive pairing during their adjustment period; therefore, it is highly likely that Norway will score at least one goal in the match.
* Bellingham and Kane Make a Difference: Jude Bellingham, who will completely take the lead in Rice's absence, and tournament top scorer Harry Kane will overcome Norway's fragile defense and bring victory to England.
Key Players Who Will Be Effective in the Match 🏴 England Side
* John Stones: With Marc Guéyi injured and Henderson absent, he has become the sole leader of the defense. The task of stopping Haaland will rest entirely on his shoulders.
* Jude Bellingham: Declan Rice's isolation due to the virus will place the entire defensive and offensive burden of the midfield entirely on Bellingham. He will set the tempo of the match.
* Harry Kane: In this period when the Norwegian defense is struggling with illnesses, his finishing ability inside the penalty area is the biggest weapon that can win the match.
🇳🇴 Norway Side
* Erling Haaland: He knows his Manchester City teammates Stones and (if he plays) Guéyi very well. He is the biggest global threat who can single-handedly dismantle England's depleted and demoralized defense. * Martin Ødegaard: He will try to exploit the absence of Declan Rice in England's midfield by finding gaps between the lines. Key passes to Haaland are Norway's only hope for scoring. * Örjan Nyland: If the defense weakens due to the wave of illness in the team, he will need to be outstanding in goal. Taking the match to extra time depends entirely on his performance.
The probability of England winning the England - Norway quarter-final match is 58%, Norway winning is 21%, and the probability of the match going to extra time/penalties (draw) is also 21%.
My Polymarket-Style Probability Predictions.
Following the injury crises, the odds in the prediction markets favoring England have balanced out.
* England Wins (90 Minutes): (58% probability)
* Norway Wins (90 Minutes): (21% probability)
* Draw / Extra Time (90 Minutes): (21% probability)
* England Advances (Including Extra Time): (72% probability)
* Norway Advances (Including Extra Time): (28% probability)
The most likely outcome is for England to win the match 2-1 in 90 minutes and advance to the semi-finals.
Despite the illness and injury crises affecting both teams, England's squad depth and tournament experience give them an advantage. Here is a score prediction and reasoning based on the key factors that will determine the course of the match:
Score Prediction: England 2 - 1 Norway (90 Minutes)
* England Missing but Deep: Although the absence of Declan Rice and Marc Guéyi weakens the center of England's defense, Thomas Tuchel has top-level Premier League players to fill these gaps.
* Norway's Outbreak is More Critical: The fact that not only the players but also manager Solbakken is seriously ill in Norway will significantly reduce the team's physical stamina in the second half of the match.
* Haaland Won't Miss a Goal: Erling Haaland will punish England's changing defensive pairing during their adjustment period; therefore, it is highly likely that Norway will score at least one goal in the match.
* Bellingham and Kane Make a Difference: Jude Bellingham, who will completely take the lead in Rice's absence, and tournament top scorer Harry Kane will overcome Norway's fragile defense and bring victory to England.
Key Players Who Will Be Effective in the Match 🏴 England Side
* John Stones: With Marc Guéyi injured and Henderson absent, he has become the sole leader of the defense. The task of stopping Haaland will rest entirely on his shoulders.
* Jude Bellingham: Declan Rice's isolation due to the virus will place the entire defensive and offensive burden of the midfield entirely on Bellingham. He will set the tempo of the match.
* Harry Kane: In this period when the Norwegian defense is struggling with illnesses, his finishing ability inside the penalty area is the biggest weapon that can win the match.
🇳🇴 Norway Side
* Erling Haaland: He knows his Manchester City teammates Stones and (if he plays) Guéyi very well. He is the biggest global threat who can single-handedly dismantle England's depleted and demoralized defense. * Martin Ødegaard: He will try to exploit the absence of Declan Rice in England's midfield by finding gaps between the lines. Key passes to Haaland are Norway's only hope for scoring. * Örjan Nyland: If the defense weakens due to the wave of illness in the team, he will need to be outstanding in goal. Taking the match to extra time depends entirely on his performance.