July 10 Market Outlook:

Woshi Reform Storm Hits Amid Geopolitical Game — BTC and ETH Bounces Are Golden Opportunities to Position Shorts!

**Macro News: Fed "Reform Strike Force" Assembled, Market Faces Paradigm Shift**
Fed Chair Woshi has been active recently, officially announcing the formation of five major special reform task forces. This "luxury" think tank includes Nobel laureates in economics, former central bank governors from multiple countries, former Walmart CEO, and even top Silicon Valley venture capitalists. Their core goal is very clear: to comprehensively review and overturn most of the operational rules the Fed has accumulated since the 2008 financial crisis.

Woshi has clearly signaled three priority reform directions: First, reduce the scale of Fed intervention in financial markets; second, downplay "forward guidance" on policy paths; third, reassess the statistical methods the Fed uses to interpret economic conditions. Although the specific impact of this systematic reform is yet to be seen, it is certain that the restructuring of central bank communication and policy logic will have profound structural implications for global investment markets.

️ **Geopolitics & Market: Escalation Without Breakdown, Technical Weakness Persists**
Recently, the US-Iran situation has continued to escalate, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict has shown signs of intensifying. However, despite the geopolitical risk shock, prices did not see a panic-driven accelerated decline, instead showing a slight consolidation trend yesterday. In terms of operations, yesterday's BTC short order was successfully filled, while the ETH short order was not triggered; however, the previously reserved short order with a trailing stop loss was already forced to take profit.

From the market structure perspective, the technical outlook remains weak, with both highs and lows continuously moving lower. Although the escalation of the geopolitical situation did not cause prices to break down further, it has clearly suppressed bullish sentiment.

** Intraday Strategy: Use Bounces to Continue Building Short Positions**
Considering the macro uncertainty and the weak technical structure, the current market lacks strong reversal momentum. For intraday operations, blindly chasing gains is not advisable. If the market bounces, it remains a good opportunity to continue building short positions. Follow the trend, strictly control risks, and wait for the market to provide clearer directional signals!

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