Diplomatic Relations Outlook: U.S. and Iran expected to hold talks before April 2026?

ME News reports that on April 25 (UTC+8), prediction market data showed that for the expectation that "the United States and Iran will hold diplomatic talks before April 30, 2026," the trading probability of the "Yes" option rose from 22.5% to 75.5%, a single-day increase of 53.0 percentage points.
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