BTC/ETH Morning Forecast | 2026.07.10 07:50

Yesterday's Review: Yesterday, the key watershed for BTC was seen at 62,200~62,400. The actual 24-hour range was about 61,636~63,448. After an intraday pullback, it reclaimed the watershed and approached the 63,400 resistance. The judgment that "holding can still maintain weak repair" was fulfilled, but the strong pressure has not been broken. For ETH, the key watershed yesterday was seen at 1,735~1,750. The actual range was about 1,720~1,761. Most of the time it oscillated around the watershed, neither breaking below 1,720 out of control nor firmly standing above 1,770. The conclusion is partially fulfilled. Altcoins were defensive yesterday, basically in line with expectations. The repair of mainstream coins has not expanded into a full-scale attack.

Today's Overall Judgment: The current common state of BTC and ETH is a bullish repair after weak oscillation, but it is not yet a unilateral reversal. BTC is currently around 63,216, with a 24-hour change of about +1.55%. ETH is currently around 1,745, with a 24-hour change of about +0.18%. On the 1-hour and 4-hour charts, BTC has reclaimed above MA20 and MA50, with MACD red bars extending. ETH on the 1-hour chart is close to the moving averages, while on the 4-hour chart it remains below MA20, showing weaker elasticity than BTC. Today, altcoins are upgraded from defensive to limited movement. Only after BTC breaks through strong resistance and ETH simultaneously reclaims the pressure zone will there be a clearer offensive window.

BTC: Current price around 63,216, 24-hour range about 61,636~63,448. Volume is lower than the 20-day average, and the upward move is still a repair rather than a volume breakout. On the 1-hour chart, price is above MA20 (~62,909) and MA50 (~62,566). Bollinger Bands range is about 62,409~63,408. MACD red bars are expanding, indicating short-term bulls are dominant but not suitable for chasing highs. On the 4-hour chart, price is above MA20 (~62,939) and MA50 (~62,429). Bollinger Bands range is about 61,517~64,360. The daily chart stands above MA20 (~61,812) but remains below MA50 (~65,632). Weekly and monthly charts are still in a large-level weak repair. Short-term support is at 62,900~63,100, strong support at 62,200~62,400. Short-term resistance is at 63,450~63,650, strong resistance at 64,300~64,600. Today's key watershed for BTC is 62,900~63,100. If held, it tends to oscillate upward. If it falls back below 62,400, it will turn defensive again.

ETH: Current price around 1,745, 24-hour range about 1,720~1,761. Volume is lower than the 20-day average, and capital turnover is not active enough. On the 1-hour chart, price is close to MA20 (~1,746) and MA50 (~1,744). Bollinger Bands range is about 1,736~1,756. MACD has slightly turned positive, showing short-term stabilization but limited strength. On the 4-hour chart, price is below MA20 (~1,760) and slightly above MA50 (~1,742). Bollinger Bands range is about 1,711~1,809. The daily chart is above MA20 (~1,680) and below MA50 (~1,780). The weekly chart remains below the mid-term moving averages. Short-term support is at 1,735~1,745, strong support at 1,710~1,720. Short-term resistance is at 1,755~1,770, strong resistance at 1,780~1,810. Today's key watershed for ETH is 1,745~1,755. Only if it holds can the repair continue. If it falls back below 1,735, altcoin elasticity will continue to be pressured.

Today's Altcoin Linkage Judgment: Today, altcoins should mainly remain inactive. If BTC holds 62,900~63,100 and breaks through 63,650, and simultaneously ETH stands firmly at 1,755~1,770, then altcoins may shift from localized rebounds to short-term attacks. If BTC falls back below 62,400 or ETH loses 1,735 again, altcoins should prioritize defense. Currently, ETH is significantly weaker than BTC, and capital has not fully spread. Weak coins are still prone to spike and then pull back.

Public Operation Principle: Do not chase highs today. Wait for BTC and ETH to confirm around their respective watersheds. If they break below the watershed, reduce positions first for defense. If they reclaim short-term resistance, then look for repair continuation. Without simultaneous breakthrough of key resistance, do not treat altcoin rebounds as a full-scale trend. For the complete observation pool and single-coin strategy, refer to the subscription flash report or group documents.

Risk Warning: The above content is only market speculation and does not constitute investment advice. Digital assets are highly volatile; please manage positions and stop-losses.