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Rebound ≠ safety.
BTC back to $61k, but $64k–$65k held it back a few times without breaking through. 73% bet on a drop to $55k. The ETF has, at least, recovered $500 million, and long-term holders are still picking up shares—nothing is broken in the medium/long term, but the short-term remains weak.
ETH is worse: a weekly death cross (50-week falls below the 200-week). The probability of hitting $1,500 is 72%.
👉 hasn’t reclaimed $64k–$65k yet / and ETH hasn’t stopped falling—don’t call it a bull market just because of a single green candle, and don’t give up because of a single red candle. Waiting for the trend is more cost-effective than guessing tops and bottoms.