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**Thursday Midday Market Analysis, July 7**
**Fed's "Jawboning on Rate Hikes" Frightens Market! BTC, ETH Bounce Then Short**
The Fed minutes stated that although there was no rate hike this time, "most" officials believe rate hikes will be necessary if inflation does not come down! This is not "bad news priced in" — it is a warning of more bad news! U.S. stocks have already fallen first on this. Why should BTC and ETH rise alone?
**Technical Analysis: Bounce on Low Volume, Weak, a Pump-and-Dump**
BTC bounced weakly to 62,000 on the 4-hour chart with shrinking volume. The 63,000-63,500 area above is a dense resistance zone of trapped positions, and also your shorting level. ETH is even weaker, failing to touch 1,760. The 1-hour MACD is below zero with a death cross, bearish alignment intact — any bounce is a chance to short.
**BTC Operation Suggestion: Short at 62,400-63,000, stop loss at 63,500, take profit at 61,700-60,500**
**ETH Operation Suggestion: Short at 1,750-1,770, stop loss at 1,800, take profit at 1,730-1,670**
Daily updates: 1 set of levels for day session and 1 set for night session, plus 1 intraday market analysis. Covers BTC, ETH, SOL, and Gold. Two entry levels for both long and short directions. Choose your own instrument to trade.
1. Aggressive Level (First Tier)
Suggestion: Monitor the charts and place an order upon entry. Take-profit reference: ETH 15 points, BTC 500 points, SOL 1 point, Gold 10-15 points. Once target is hit, reduce position first and simultaneously move stop-loss to breakeven. Retain remaining position to bet on trend continuation.
2. Conservative Level (Second Tier)
Mainly for betting on trend reversals. If you cannot monitor the charts, directly place a limit order, and ensure you set a stop-loss. After profit target is reached, reduce position simultaneously and keep a base position to bet on a trend reversal.
3. Fixed Stop-Loss Standard
ETH 15 points, BTC 500 points, SOL 1 point, Gold 15 points. After profit, priority is to reduce position + move stop to breakeven or tighten stop-loss, then bet on trend continuation.
4. Release & Carryover Rules
After the 12:00 noon candle close, update day session levels; after the 24:00 midnight candle close, update night session levels. Before new levels are released, existing levels remain valid.