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2026.7.9 Daytime Market Analysis
Macro: Dovish, not predicting the future. If oil surges, policy needs to change. From the market perspective, this round of interest rates may remain unchanged. The previous bearish view is starting to improve. Only if there is a technical bottoming out can there be a rebound.
Spot: The broader market still has short-term breakdown demand. You can add to watchlist. There should be an opportunity by the end of the year.
Today: Continuing the 4-hour consolidation, with a relatively bearish outlook. Continue to focus on pullback shorts. Short is the main direction, longing only for divergence rebounds at support levels [Do not look at or take longs; shorts are the primary direction]
Resistance: 63800, 64500, 1800, 1850
Support: 61500, 60500, 1680, 1650
ETH today: Start watching at 1760, short at 1780, stop loss 1805, take profit 1700, 1680, 1660.
Break below 1685, 1690 divergence long, take profit 1760, 1780 [If no breakdown, the first position can take 20 points first and exit, or keep it for a minor add on breakdown]
BTC today: Short at 63000, 63200, stop loss 400 points, take profit 61200, 60600, 60000 [Short take profit also serves as multiple entry points for scaling in. Conservative take profit 800-1200 points. Take profit 61600--62500-63500]
Combined with live broadcast and technical analysis, manage position sizing. For reference only. #比特币