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Probability of US-Iran diplomatic talks jumps 48.5 percentage points in a single day

2026-07-08 16:26:33

According to ME News on April 25 (UTC+8), prediction market data shows that in the judgment of "whether the US and Iran will hold diplomatic talks before April 27, 2026," the probability for the "Yes" option rose from 11.5% to 60.0%, a single-day increase of 48.5 percentage points.

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