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Major Coins*
- *Bitcoin (BTC)*: ∼$62,900 - $63,700. Down from rejection at $64,000. Trading below 50-day, 100-day and 200-day EMAs, so near-term bias is bearish. Support watch: $63,554, resistance at $64,004 and $65,578.
- *Ethereum (ETH)*: ∼$1,786 - $1,791. Up 1.20% on the day, +13% last week. But still below key EMAs: 50-day at ∼$1,806, 100-day at ∼$1,972. Market cap ∼$216B.
- *XRP*: ∼$0.98 - $1.08. Down 4 days in a row. Futures open interest dropped to $2.38B, way below July 22 peak of $10.94B. 913a52653ef7347022ab0909ec79
*2. ETF Flows - Mixed signals*
- *Bitcoin ETFs*: Outflows of $527M last week, 8th straight week of redemptions. But inflows returned Mon $266M and Fri $222M. Cumulative inflows still $51B.
- *Ethereum ETFs*: $14M outflows last week, but 3 straight days of inflows: ∼$15M, $29M, $21M. Cumulative $11B.
- *XRP ETFs*: $12M inflows last week, 9 straight weeks of inflows. f4c8ec79
*3. Sentiment & Macro*
- *Fear & Greed Index*: Ticked up to 24 from 12 last week. Still "fear" territory.
- *Headwinds*: Macro uncertainty, geopolitical issues, and no clear catalysts. Analysts cut BTC targets - Citi now $82K base case vs $112K before. Bear case $52,512.
- *Ethereum Q2*: ETH had its 3rd straight quarterly drop, -25.28% in Q2. Down 47.10% YTD. ETF outflows of $715.5M in Q2. f4c83cad567c