Only 34% chance the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal before Nov 1.


Kalshi traders are pricing in prolonged disruption.
20% of global oil supply at risk = higher energy prices + sticky inflation.
For BTC: Hard asset bid vs. higher-for-longer rates pressure.
Geopolitics is driving the tape. Stay sharp. 🧐
KALSHI-8.59%
BTC-3.33%
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