July 7 Crypto–US Stock Market 🇺🇸 Market Analysis ‼️ 【Crypto Big Opportunity】Bottoming out around the week before and after the July interest rate decision. BTC: end of 2026 at 120k.

【US Stocks】Yesterday, big tech continued to pull back. During the day, “yellow hair” shouted and it popped up somewhat, but it still kept falling into the close. #MU broke below 1000 USD and has already reached the 900 level. It’s still better to wait for the 866 level to add positions.

Conclusion 【Prepare to bottom fish】Strategy: ✅Bottom fishing✅ 【BTC】The momentum to push into the 65000–67000 range is in place; 64700 has basically completed the target. Wait for further upside before shorting. It’s recommended to still wait around 67000; the stop loss will be smaller and the risk-reward will be better.

【ETH】Push into the 1800–1820 range. Currently the high is 1833. Wait to short when it moves in sync with BTC for a slightly better risk-reward.

【BTC】【ETH】 have broken away from big tech and are trading as an independent trend. During the session, MicroStrategy #MSTR made a new intraday high, but it fell by the close and finished flat with no rise. The trading strategy is still to stay bullish and do more. Try not to short—wait, and it will rise again before you short.

【Notes】Three steps of bottom fishing: 1) Wait for the bottom to consolidate. 2) Wait for a false breakdown (confirmed to be a false one). 3) The point should be correct—if it’s not, currently spot BTC: 57800.19 has a slight issue: the 0.19 tail doesn’t affect the bottom-fishing rhythm.

Around 2 weeks before July 15, whenever the Fear & Greed Index continues to spike, that is the best time to build positions. Build long positions in three batches:
- First batch: 58000, 70% probability it breaks below.
- Second batch: 55000, 20% probability it breaks below — at present, the probability is decreasing; even 57000 is hard, and a few more days of verification are needed.
- Third batch: 53000, 5% probability it breaks below.

If it breaks 50k, cut losses.

Target: end of December 2026. For this portion of the core long positions, it’s best not to touch it—hold until you reach the 100k–120k range.

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