HYPE at $70, still haven't caught the ride?



First, look at the chart: $70.57, up 0.47% in 24h, up 6-15% in 7 days, up 18-26% in 1 month, market cap $17.8B entering the top nine. On June 16, it just hit an ATH of $76.85. The normal script would be profit-taking driving it back below $60, but it's been consolidating around $70.

First thing: This thing is "buying itself" every day.

HyperLiquid takes 97-99% of its fee revenue and automatically buys back HYPE every day. What does automatic mean? It buys regardless of price, regardless of market conditions, every single day.

Annualized revenue over $600 million, almost all converted into buying pressure;

Q1 alone bought back over $17.8B, 30-day buyback $53 million;

And that's not counting ETF inflows (21Shares, Bitwise attracted over $50 million in the first week).

Second thing: The fundamentals are not just strong; it's "Wall Street on the chain."

TVL $5.5-6.1 billion, cumulative perpetual trading volume over $4.5 trillion, open interest hitting new highs repeatedly. Not just derivatives; spot, lending, prediction markets, RWA are all on-chain.

What's even more aggressive is HyperEVM — after the general smart contract launch, developers can freely build applications on it.

Third thing: The technicals are saying "gathering strength, don't rush."

The daily ascending channel is intact, higher highs + higher lows, holding above all EMAs, with the 50-day EMA at $58.5 providing strong support. The 4-hour chart bounced precisely from the 200 EMA, RSI neutral not overbought, MACD golden cross structure unbroken.

Now it's a high-level range consolidation, washout not deep, support strong.

Bull vs bear showdown, you decide.

Bulls:

Automatic daily buybacks, buying pressure never runs dry.

Real annualized revenue over $600 million, not vaporware.

Spot ETF inflows continue, institutions hoarding.

Technical ascending channel intact, ready to launch.

Bears:

Unlock of 9.9 million coins on August 6 (worth ~$700 million).

Only 8% away from ATH, profit-taking can surge anytime.

If BTC breaks below $62k, HYPE may follow.

Key Levels

Upper resistance: 72-73 → 76.85 (breakout targets 85-90).

Lower support: 68-69 → 65-66 (breakdown target 58.5).

Long term:

Accumulate in batches at the 65-68 support zone, target 100+, stake for compound interest. These are early chips of "on-chain Berkshire", don't give them away easily.

Mid term:

Buy dips, target back to 76-80, breakout see 85-90. Take 50% profit near 76, let the rest ride.

Short term:

Long at 69-70, stop loss 67.5, target 72.5-74. If it holds above 73, add longs, target 76+. Leverage not exceeding 3x, focus on spot.

Risk Red Lines:

Position not exceeding 15-20% of total capital.

If BTC breaks $62k, reduce position to prevent contagion.

Consider locking in some profits before the August unlock.

When HYPE went from 65 to 67, you hesitated. From 67 to 70, you hesitated again. Now it's been consolidating at 70 for nearly a month, and everyone says "wait for a pullback to 65 to catch the ride."

But do you know how this scenario ends?

It doesn't pull back, directly breaks through 76.85 with a big green candle, and then you watch 85, 90, 100 — finally can't help but rush in, right at the top.

Missing out hurts a hundred times more than being trapped, because when trapped you can console yourself "I'll be bailed out," but missing out is you personally pushing away the opportunity. #GUSD年化升至3.8% #预测世界杯阿根廷VS埃及 #Strategy上周减持3588枚BTC $ETH $BTC $HYPE
ETH0.40%
BTC0.52%
HYPE1.39%
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