Strait of Hormuz: Another oil tanker attacked! Reports say Iran fired at least two missiles, oil prices spike.

An oil tanker attack has been reported again in the Strait of Hormuz, causing Brent crude and WTI to rise. The surface calm under the US-Iran interim peace agreement may be more fragile than imagined.
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Oil prices have always been the most honest thermometer of geopolitics, and the Strait of Hormuz has flashed red again in recent days. Earlier today (7th) Taiwan time, a southbound oil tanker was struck on its port side by an unknown object about 8 nautical miles east of Limah, Oman. The UKMTO (UK Maritime Trade Operations) confirmed the incident. Axios reporter cited US officials: Iran fired at least two missiles, hitting two commercial vessels, but fortunately no crew casualties were reported.

After the news broke, Brent crude rose in the short term. Although traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is gradually recovering, sporadic attacks on ships are enough to affect global oil prices.

Analyst's view: The rebound may be short-lived

Warren Patterson, Head of Commodities Strategy at ING in Singapore, believes that the latest attack in the Persian Gulf proves the situation is far from normal. If the US retaliates, oil prices may receive short-term support, but market sentiment is bearish. He bluntly stated, "The rebound sentiment is hard to sustain."

This incident is not just damage to a single tanker; it serves as a reminder that any disturbance in the Strait of Hormuz can affect the entire energy supply chain. In the short term, the market will closely watch: whether more commercial ships will be attacked, whether the US-Iran agreement can withstand the test, and whether OPEC+ will adjust production amid concerns of oversupply.

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