I was about to sleep, but looking at the market, I feel like not writing something would be missing something. Persist a little every day, no delays or debts.

Market Forecast:

Surge, resistance, pullback, and repair (main trend, probability 70%):

BTC: After surging to 642-643, RSI overbought pulls back, retesting 634-630 support.

ETH: After surging to 1810-1830, retests 1778 support.

Logic: Short-term V-shaped rebound leads to severely overbought indicators needing repair; profit-taking digested, then re-accumulates upward momentum—such a market is healthy.

High-level range consolidation (secondary trend, 25%)

BTC: 630-643 back-and-forth pin action.

ETH: 1778-1830 range consolidation. Long-short battle. Consolidate for a day to pick a direction.

Volume-driven surge (small probability, 5%)

Volume breaks and holds 643, surges to 648-652 daily upper rail limit. ETH breaks 1830 simultaneously, targeting 1860.

-----------------Golden Ratio Line-----------------

Strategy:

Buy on pullback

BTC: Near 634 and 630, enter in batches to avoid missing out, stop loss 627, first take profit 639, second take profit 643, intermediate take profit 648.

ETH: Near 1778 and 1744, enter in batches to avoid missing out, first take profit 1803, second take profit 1830.

Short at high resistance zone

BTC: Short at 642-643, stop loss 647, first take profit 634, second take profit 630.

ETH: Short at 1805-1810, stop loss 1823, first take profit 1778, second take profit 1744.

Breakdown short (use when bullish structure is broken)

1-hour candle closes below 630 lifeline, then short on rebound to 631, take profit 624, 618, stop loss 635.

1-hour candle closes below 1744, then short on rebound to 1752, stop loss 1778, take profit 1708.

BTC0.37%

ETH1.08%

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LittleBumpkinIsASillyPig.

· 07-07 15:44

23:42, all long positions on Bitcoin and Ethereum have been fully closed out. Short positions have been opened at 63888.8 for Bitcoin and 1796.6 for Ethereum. I’m tired—I don’t want to update anymore. The garbage mechanism that requires Level 0 accounts to post 10 times a day also needs to be activated. Take-profit is near 630 and 1960. Not updating anymore. I’ll analyze tomorrow’s market before sleeping.

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LittleBumpkinIsASillyPig.

· 07-07 14:58

22:56, reduced long position on BTC, 63433. Profit 500 points, remaining exit at 638. Half position left in BTC, half position in ETH at 1758. ETH plan to exit at 1800.

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LittleBumpkinIsASillyPig.

· 07-07 14:41

22:38 62666.66 Bought back the closed long position. The current average entry price is 62833; ETH 1760. It’s short by two points and wasn’t added to the position. Now BTC is essentially the same as the core/main position.

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LittleBumpkinIsASillyPig.

· 07-07 13:17

Damn it. The short order didn't get filled. I placed an order at 63866.66. Today's strategy basically perfectly coincided with the predicted trend. I just wasn't watching the screen, so some pending orders weren't filled. For four consecutive days, the trends in four posts have basically met expectations. I'll give myself an 85. The few orders that missed by about 100 points are heavily penalized. I still need to figure out the strategy for reserving the initial position and adding positions for pending orders, so I won't slap my thigh in regret over a missed opportunity.

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LittleBumpkinIsASillyPig.

· 07-07 12:08

20:05 Bitcoin long at 630, over 63666 and out half at a profit of 666 points—100%. If it pulls back to 626-627, add back. Ethereum long at 1790—reduce half of the position; the remaining 1/4 holds and watches.

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LittleBumpkinIsASillyPig.

· 07-07 06:47

14:45, the market price movement is initially in line with expectations. According to the previous reply, the limit orders at 630 and 1758.66 have already been placed. For Ethereum, when you’re up 18 points in profit, double the profit and trim some of the position. For Bitcoin, the first entry was made to add to the position, but it hasn’t reached the target yet, so the position remains unchanged. Hold and observe.

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LittleBumpkinIsASillyPig.

· 07-07 03:20

11:11, currently holding 637 1808 short positions; 63333 1777 reduce positions. Hold until 62811 and close at 1758. Today’s strategy: Long: Enter the first long order at 630; take in 1758, add to the position at 626 near 1742; first take profit at 637 1805; second take profit at 646 1830. Short: On the rebound, 638-640; 1805-1808 add back the short position that was closed/reduced; first take profit at 630 1762; second take profit at 626 1738. Breakdown short: When the 1-hour K-line body closes below 626 (the lifeline), short on the rebound at 627-628; target 621. Rebound at 1736 to enter; target 1690.

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LittleBumpkinIsASillyPig.

· 07-06 21:35

5:32 Woke up in the middle of the night, and the long order didn’t get filled. The pending short order was used to top up and catch the position. Currently adding to the position: 64666 and 1830, with average prices at 63722 and 1808 respectively. The current coin price is at 642 and 1816. The strategy given last night again didn’t retrace—it directly surged to the ultimate long target at the daily upper rail. The long missed, and the short was entered passively. I’ll review again in the morning.

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