SOL at $80, are you still playing dead?



First, look at the chart: Solana is putting on a weird drama of "fundamentals are incredible, price is playing dead."

Over the past week, it rebounded strongly from $64, briefly reclaimed the $80 level, surging 15% in a single week. But just when you thought it was about to take off—it went soft again. Down 1% in 24 hours, volume dropped 29%, stuck at $80.1, unable to go up or down. Market cap $46.6B, ranked 7th, 24-hour volume $1.8-2.1B. For others, the longer the sideways, the bigger the breakout; its sideways movement makes you question life.

First thing: on-chain data is as hard as iron, but price is as soft as mud.

June non-vote transaction volume: 3.77 billion, an all-time high.

dApp Q2 revenue $257 million, beating all L1s and L2s for 9 consecutive quarters.

Stablecoin market cap exceeds $15 billion, tokenized asset spot $5.77 billion, an all-time high.

Circle is minting USDC aggressively on Solana, TVL around $5.07 billion (multi-year high in SOL terms).

Signed a $6 billion crypto city MOU with Kazakhstan, MoneyGram joins the developer platform.

Second thing: ETF outflows, volume shrinking, who is secretly suppressing the price?

SOL ETF has recently seen capital outflows.

When price rebounded, volume actually fell 29% — buying pressure isn't strong enough.

Overall crypto market risk appetite is weak, BTC is hanging around 62k-63k, ETH struggling at 1650-1760.

All funds have rushed to the AI sector, public chains are neglected.

Third thing: technicals tell you — $73 is the floor, $85 is the door.

On the daily chart, SOL formed a higher low after bouncing from $64, a textbook bottoming signal.

It's building momentum, but needs a volume breakout above $85 to prove itself.

If it retests $73 and holds, that's a free money zone.

If it breaks $64, don't look, wait for a deeper bottom.

Bull vs. bear showdown, you decide.

Bulls say:

On-chain volume, dApp revenue, RWA all at records.

$6 billion Kazakhstan project + MGI, institutional adoption accelerating.

Q2 dApp revenue leading for 9 consecutive quarters, not a coincidence.

Dropped from $293 to $64, down 72%, how much lower can it go?

Bears say:

ETF outflows, volume shrinking, insufficient buying.

If BTC doesn't stabilize, SOL as a high-beta asset will be dragged down.

History of network outages, institutions have a shadow.

Competition intensifying, other L1s are also grabbing market share.

Key levels:

Strong support: 75-77 → 73 (0.786 Fibonacci) → 64-65 (iron floor, break it and it's over).

Resistance: 82-85 (recent highs) → 90-95 → 100 (psychological level).

Short-term:

Long signal: Daily close above 80.5-81 with volume → target 85-90, stop loss 77.

Buy on pullback: scale in at 75-77, add at 73, stop loss 64.

Medium-term:

DCA below 75, focus on 73 and 65.

Break above 85 with volume, chase it, target 100-120.

Total position controlled at 10-20%, keep ammo for a black swan.

Risk limits:

Single loss no more than 2% of total capital.

Always set a stop loss, never go all in.

If BTC breaks 62k, exit first, wait for lower SOL.

SOL now is like ETH at the end of 2023 —

On-chain data is exploding, ecosystem is blossoming, but price is like stagnant water.

Everyone is doubting "is it done?", then it 4x'd in 3 months.

SOL at $80, do you think it's expensive?

By the time you think "it's safe", it's already at $150.

The 3.7 billion on-chain transactions aren't fake,

The $257 million dApp revenue isn't fake,

The $6 billion from Kazakhstan isn't fake.

The only thing fake is your fear of SOL at $80. #gStocks代币化股票上线 #Vitalik公布精简以太坊路线图 #SK海力士登陆纳斯达克 $BTC $ETH $SOL
BTC1.26%
ETH0.42%
SOL0.86%
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