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Will U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks be launched? Prediction probability surged 51 percentage points in a single day.

2026-07-06 14:24:33

ME News reported that on April 25 (UTC+8), prediction market data showed that the probability of the "Yes" option for "Whether the US and Iran will hold diplomatic talks before April 27, 2026" surged from 17.0% to 68.0%, a single-day increase of 51.0 percentage points.

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