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July6BTC/ETHMike'sStrategyStartinganewweek.Afterthenon-farmpayrolldatawasreleasedlastThursday,themarketsawasignificantrecovery.ThiswasmainlyduetoWaller'sstatementthatinflationrisksareeasing,leadingthemarkettobetthattheFedwillpostponefurtherratehikes,whichboostedgold,silver,andcrypto.Thisweek,focusontheFOMCmeetingminutesreleasedbytheFedearlyonJuly9,awaitingmorecluesonmonetarypolicy.BTC:Thethreemajorrangesareveryclear.Thereboundinmid-Junestalledinthisarea.Payattentiontotheranges62888-64150-65400-66750.Thefirstrangeisperformingwell.Observewhethertherewillberesistancefromtheshortsideinthesecondrange,64150-65400,duringtheday.Recommenddefendingat65400andlookforanopportunitytoaddshortsaround64800,themidpointoftherange.Sinceshortingcurrentlyisaleft-sidecontrarianmove,defensemustbedecisive,andpositionsizeshouldbecontrolled.Forlongs,withoutapriorposition,it'snotidealtoadd;thosewithapriorpositioncanappropriatelyholdfortrendcontinuation.Ifthereisachancetopullbackto60800-61800,consideraddinglongs.(Seethechartfordetails.)ETH:Thereisnoclearreversalsignalonthetechnicalside.Thelong-sidetrendremainsintact,andtheresistancelevelsaheadarealsoveryclear.Currently,itisinastateofchipconsolidationbeforetheofficialbattlebetweenlongsandshorts.Payattentiontothepreviousreboundhighsat1825-1854asakeyresistance.Ifbroken,thereisachancetopushtoward1909toopenupupsidespace.Intermsofoperations:thereisvalueinleft-sideshortingneartheupperend.Recommendfindingadefenselevelat1825-1854.Ifthereisaintradayrallyandpullback,youcantrytofollow,playingforapullbackto1669-1714.Foraddinglongs,therearetwoapproaches.First,afteraconfirmedbreakoutoftheresistancelevel,waitforthefirstpullbacktoadd.Second,directlybuyonapullbacktothesupportzone.Bothrequiresufficientpatience.Thekeyistofindagooddefenselevel.(Seethechartfordetails.)#非农爆冷打压加息预期