7.6-7.12BTCThisWeek'sLong-termOutlookThisweek,theoverallBitcoinoutlookmaintainsalong-termbearishview.Thepositivesentimentfromthepreviousnon-farmpayrollshasbeenfullydigested.ThereboundintheU.S.dollarandTreasuryyieldsisonceagainsuppressingthemarket.CombinedwithcontinuedoutflowsfromspotETFsandclearinstitutionalreductioninpositions,thisreboundismerelyashort-termcorrectionwithinthedowntrend,notatrendreversal.Thereisnorealincrementalbullishcapitalenteringthemarket.Technically,theresistancezoneof63300–64000aboveisextremelystrong.Multipleattemptstobreakhigherhavefailed,withheavytrappedsellpressure.Bullishmomentumcontinuestoweaken,andindicatorshaveallturnedweak.Thecorelayoutstrategyforthisweekistoshortonreboundsinbatches,withthedefenselevelat64500.Ifthislevelisnotbroken,remainfirmlybearishthroughout.Intradayoscillationstotheupsideareallbulltrapsforcorrection.Thefirstdownsidetargetis61500,andifbroken,furtherlooktothekeywatershedof60000.Onceeffectivelybroken,thisweekwillinitiateadeeperdeclinetothe58500area.Overallrhythm:weakathighs,feeblerebounds.Thisweek,followthetrendwithaprimarybearishstance,ignoreminorfluctuationsandshakeouts,andpatientlywaitforthebearishmovetofullymaterialize.Long-termoperationsuggestion:shortonreboundto638-645,firsttarget615,secondtarget600,ultimatetarget585$BTC $ETH $SOL

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