$BTC This is wild.



Last bear market, we saw roughly a 78% drawdown over a 54-week period.

Now we’re 38 weeks into the bear market and have so far seen a 54% decline from the top.

Comparing these stats shows that, on both metrics, we’re currently at around 70% of the previous bear market.

The biggest deviation from previous cycles was the last one, which bottomed at around 86%.

Keeping in mind that we have both diminishing returns and diminishing drawdowns, a bottom at 70% of the previous bear market doesn’t sound so crazy anymore.

Everyone who follows me knows that I think the probability of another push to the downside is high. But even if we see that, we’re extremely close to the bottom, and in my opinion, the upside heavily outweighs the downside risk.

That’s why I’m currently looking for my first swing long of the upcoming bull market.

Enjoy these cheap prices while they last. We’ll likely never see BTC at these levels again after this cycle.
BTC0.19%
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GateUser-af0710ba
· 2h ago
Last time it was 86%, this time it’s 70%—so next time will it be 60%, and that’ll be the end?
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AuroraSnowyWildernessSolitary
· 2h ago
54% drop, how much more can it fall? The fear index has gone numb.
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MempoolDrifter
· 2h ago
Already selecting targets, it's really a pity not to position in this bottom area.
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PixelUniverseCat
· 2h ago
70% this anchor is quite interesting, diminishing returns is indeed at work.
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Stop-LossForBluePeony
· 2h ago
I believe the logic of diminishing drawdowns, but the rhythm is too hard to grasp.
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