Trump is talking big again—Bitcoin and the rest are unusually strong, so be careful when chasing the rally! BTC and ETH strategy for 7.5

Trump is talking big again. He said that Iran is “begging for a deal,” but stated that both sides have decided to suspend negotiations for a week until after the funeral of Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei. He added that during the suspension, neither side will attack the other. “They’re all there. One strike could take them all out, but we won’t do that because then we’d have no one left to negotiate with.” As of Friday, the price has basically seen no meaningful pullback so far—moving sideways and rising a bit. BTC and ETH are racing to break through recent highs. The long-side ideas we gave have been in line with expectations. The overnight plan that looks for a pullback is still holding, but currently it’s putting positions in a bind!

These frequently bullish ideas may not have fully captured the move, but the chances are too low. Right now, the technicals have clearly shown signs of stagnation. On the 4-hour chart, the three KDJ lines on the attached indicator have stuck together and then formed a death cross. So don’t blindly chase the rally—today, first look for a small pullback!

**7.5 Short Strategy:**

For BTC: Short one contract at the current price 63000-63500, with a stop loss above 64000. Targets: 62000-61500-61000 area. If it breaks through, watch around 60500-60k. If it breaks further, move the stop loss and take profit based on conditions!

For ETH: Short one contract at the current price 1780-1820, with a stop loss near 1850. Targets: around 1700-1670. If it breaks through, watch around 1650-1630.

**7.5 Long Strategy:**

For BTC: Enter long on a pullback at 59500-6万. More conservative entry near 58500-59000. Stop loss near 58000. Targets: 61000-61500-62000 area. If it breaks through, watch around 62500-63000. If it breaks further, move the stop loss and take profit based on conditions!

For ETH: Enter long on a pullback at 1600-1630. More conservative entry near 1530-1560. Stop loss near 1500. Targets: 1650-1700-1720 area. If it breaks through, watch around 1750-1780. If it breaks further, move the stop loss and take profit based on conditions!

The US-Iran negotiations are stuck in a deadlock. Neither side is willing to give in, so it definitely won’t be that easy to come to an agreement. Iran needs to cover its losses, but the US not only refuses, it also blocks Iran from collecting fees from past ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz to make up for them. Even though a ceasefire agreement has been signed, attacks are still frequent—can negotiations like this really be successful? #非农爆冷打压加息预期