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The possibility of US-Iran diplomatic talks decreases, with the predicted probability plummeting by 31 percentage points in a single day.

2026-07-04 11:31:18

According to ME News on April 24 (UTC+8), prediction market data shows that in the assessment of "whether the U.S. and Iran will hold diplomatic talks before April 27, 2026," the trading probability for "Yes" dropped from 49.5% to 18.5%, a single-day decrease of 31.0 percentage points.

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