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U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks outlook downgraded: confidence in prediction of "whether it will be held before May 15, 2026" significantly declines

2026-07-04 02:59:48

ME News, April 24 (UTC+8), prediction market data shows that for the event "Will diplomatic talks be held before May 15, 2026?" in the case of "The diplomatic meeting between the US and Iran...?", the expected probability of "Will be held" has dropped from 75.5% to 44.5%, a decrease of 31.0 percentage points in a single day.

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