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It's a pity my pending order almost got filled yesterday.
I. Market
🟠 BTC $62,844｜+2.27%｜Resistance 63,015/64,427｜Support 62,228/61,270
🔵 ETH $1,762｜+3.69%｜Resistance 1,779/1,903｜Support 1,708/1,649
🟡 BNB $575｜+2.98%｜Resistance 593/618｜Support 567/562
II. Macro
Gold $4,177 | Crude Oil $68.78 | DXY 100.86 | Fear & Greed 25 (Fear) | BTC.D 57.83% | Total Market Cap $2.17T
U.S. Stocks 7/2: Dow +1.14%｜S&P flat｜Nasdaq -0.80% (Independence Day holiday, markets closed today)
III. Headlines
· Strategy holds 847,363 BTC = 1.3x global governments; Galaxy suggests it use lending/options to generate revenue instead of selling
· CryptoQuant warns: 6/30 saw nearly 49,000 BTC deposited to exchanges (5th extreme this year); historically signals increased volatility
· CLARITY Act countdown: 25 days left; if not passed before August recess, crypto legislation process delayed
· OPEC June output increase + Iran Khamenei's state funeral week (7/4-9): dual variables for geopolitics and oil prices
IV. Strategy
🟠 BTC bearish (56%)｜Bounce hits previous high resistance + Bollinger Upper Band; daily still in bearish arrangement
Short $62,910-63,411｜TP $62,229｜SL $64,362 (R/R 0.78)
Long $61,979-62,480｜TP $63,161｜SL $61,049 (R/R 0.79)
⚠️ Both sides R/R < 1, halve position
🔵 ETH bullish (52%)｜Relatively stronger than BTC, but RSI 72.82 overbought
Long $1,704-1,718｜TP $1,776｜SL $1,678 (R/R 1.97)
Short $1,769-1,783｜TP $1,711｜SL $1,810 (R/R 1.91)
🟡 BNB bearish (65%)｜Hits Bollinger Upper Band + EMA20; 1H overbought
Short $572-577｜TP $567｜SL $586 (R/R 0.65)
⚠️ Risks: ① Holiday-thinned crypto liquidity due to U.S. markets closed; ② Volatility window warned by CryptoQuant exchange inflow alert; ③ Middle East variables during Iran funeral week #BTC #ETH