Ethereum's monthly TD Sequential indicator is flashing a buy signal again. Since the end of 2021, this indicator has accurately captured trend reversals three times: a sell signal in September 2021 preceded a 78% drop, a buy signal in September 2022 led to a 235% gain, and a buy signal in March 2025 resulted in a 182% gain. The historical hit rate is indeed high, but the current environment is different—continued ETF outflows, AI capital absorption, and ongoing macroeconomic pressures. Seller exhaustion does not mean buyers will immediately step in, and insufficient liquidity may delay the signal's realization. The TD Sequential is a price structure tool, not a fundamental oracle.