2026.7.3 Daytime Market Analysis

The expectation of interest rate hikes has cooled down, coupled with the positive pre-judgment of the small non-farm payroll. It has changed from the original expectation of rate hikes to a current 50% probability. If subsequent data continue to show such maintenance, turning from bearish to bullish, that means the bearish news has been priced in, and the outlook will continue to be bullish…

Today: Still rebounding upward after a pullback. A bottom bounce does not signify the arrival of a bull market; current conditions are not sufficient. We will wait for sustained positive developments in the future. For now, it is suitable for an oversold rebound pattern. The 4-hour chart shows a bottom bounce, and the Fed released positive news.

Resistance levels: 62500, 63500, 1800, 1850
Support levels: 60800, 59500, 1660, 1600

ETH today: The current price will slowly oscillate upward. Aggressive: go long at current price 1715 with a small position and leave room for adding. Preferably, long at pullback to 1680 or 1670, stop loss 1660, take profit 1770 or 1780.

BTC today: Daily chart has broken the pattern. Go long at current price 61600 with room for adding. Place pending orders at 60700 and 60300. Stop loss 60000. Steady at 62500 and 62300. Take profit at 63500 and 63200.

The weekend is here. Once long positions hit take profit, it's time to watch. If positive news continues, the key pressure levels in the later stage are 65200–64500 and 1800–1850.

Combine with live streaming and technical analysis, manage position size, for reference only #ETH突破1700 #比特币