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📊 A very strange thing is happening on ETH's monthly chart
Ethereum, since starting from the bottom of a major cycle,
has been steadily operating within a super long-term ascending channel for years.
But the recent monthly trend has shown clear anomalies—
the price is approaching the lower edge of this multi-year major cycle channel.
$ETH The monthly chart now stands at the most critical tipping point of the entire cycle.
The vast majority of the market is lagging behind;
only when the trend is completely broken and visible to the naked eye will everyone follow.
Real major cycle turning points always occur before anyone has time to react.
Suggestion: bookmark this now. ETH's next move will determine the landscape for a long period to come.
💎 My in-depth view:
What many people see as a channel is just a simple line connecting highs and lows.
But a real major cycle channel is the underlying trend structure of ETH's multi-year bull and bear cycles.
From early lows oscillating upward, to several bull runs and bear market retracements,
every major bottom rise and top fall in ETH has been strictly contained within this channel rule.
This is the most genuine path of major player activity spanning years.
And now, the monthly price has precisely touched the lower edge support of the channel—
the major cycle battle between bulls and bears has officially begun.
At this stage, we must keep a close eye on these key zones:
$2200 – $2300
ETH's super long-term monthly ascending channel standard lower edge support,
also the last structural defense line for the current bulls.
$2000
The strongest psychological integer level across the entire network;
if the major channel structure is briefly breached, this will be the first dense demand zone with strong absorption.
$1750 – $1800
The ultimate bottom zone for extreme bear traps and panic selling,
corresponding to the historical bear market dense chip bottom—a margin of safety after oversold conditions.
Here I also apply the BTC major cycle logic:
Even if there is a short-term spike below the channel's lower edge,
it is most likely still a fake breakdown or a washout breakdown, not a true trend breach.
The only core factor to distinguish real from fake breakdowns: volume structure
If it's a high-volume crash breaking the lower edge:
It's a real short-selling sell-off, greatly increasing the probability of trend weakening and structural damage.
If it's a low-volume gradual decline with a small spike below:
It's a typical concentrated panic dump and the last retail capitulation;
this kind of breakdown is not a continuation of bearishness but rather a major cycle bottom signal.
In summary:
ETH's $2200 zone is the most critical major cycle dividing line this year.
Gains or losses here will directly determine the subsequent trend direction. Keep a close watch on 📉
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is solely a technical cycle trend review and analysis, not investment advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. View the market rationally and participate cautiously.#BTC下探60000美元关键关口 #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #USD1链上质押享年化9.48% @Gate Live $BTC $GT $ETH