📊 A very eerie thing is unfolding on the ETH monthly chart

Since Ethereum started from the bottom of a major cycle,

for many years, it has been steadily operating within the super long-term rising channel.

But the recent monthly trend has shown obvious anomalies —

the price is approaching the lower edge of this multi-year macro cycle channel.

$ETH On the monthly chart, we are now at the most critical tipping point of the entire situation.

The vast majority of the market is lagging behind;

only when the price completely breaks down and the trend becomes visually obvious will everyone follow and react.

The true macro cycle turning point always occurs when no one has yet reacted.

It is recommended to bookmark this. ETH's next move will determine the pattern for a long period ahead.

💎 My in-depth view:

What many people see as a channel is just a simple connection of highs and lows.

But the true macro cycle channel is the underlying trend structure of ETH's multi-year bull and bear cycles.

From the early lows oscillating upward, through several bull runs and bear market pullbacks,

every major bottom rise and top fall of ETH has been contained within the rules of this channel.

This is the most authentic trajectory of the major players spanning years.

And now, at the monthly level, the price has precisely touched the support at the lower edge of the channel,

the macro cycle battle between bulls and bears has officially begun.

At this stage, you must keep a close watch on these core ranges:

$2200 – $2300

ETH's standard lower edge support of the super long-term monthly rising channel,

and also the last structural defense line for the bulls in this round.

$2000

The strongest psychological integer level across the entire network,

once the macro channel structure is briefly breached, this will be the first dense demand zone with extremely strong support.

$1750 – $1800

The ultimate bottom range for extreme bear trap and sell-off,

corresponding to the dense historical bear market bottom, a margin of safety after oversold conditions.

Here I also apply the BTC macro cycle logic:

Even if there is a temporary spike below the channel's lower edge,

it is still highly likely to be a fake break, a washout break, rather than a true trend breakdown.

To distinguish between real and fake breaks, look at the only core factor: volume structure

If it is a high-volume crash breaking through the lower edge:

It is a real bearish smash, the probability of trend weakening increases significantly, and the macro structure is damaged.

If it is a low-volume gradual decline with a slight spike below:

It is a typical concentrated release of panic selling, with retail investors cutting losses and exiting,

such a break is not a continuation of the bearish trend, but rather a macro cycle bottom signal.

In summary:

The ETH $2200 range is the most critical macro cycle dividing line this year.

The gain or loss here directly determines the subsequent trend direction. Keep a close watch on 📉

⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is only a technical cycle trend review analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile; view the market rationally and participate cautiously. #BTC下探60000美元关键关口 #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #USD1链上质押享年化9.48% @Gate Live $BTC $GT $ETH