📊 A very strange thing is unfolding on the ETH monthly chart.

Since Ethereum started from the bottom of a major cycle,
over the years, it has been stably operating within the super long-term ascending channel.

However, recent monthly chart movements have shown clear anomalies —
the price is approaching the lower edge of this multi-year major cycle channel.

$ETH On the monthly chart, it has now reached the most critical tipping point of the overall picture.

The majority of the market is lagging behind.
Only when the price completely breaks down and the trend becomes visibly clear will everyone follow and react.

True major cycle turning points always occur when everyone hasn't realized yet.
It's recommended to bookmark this. ETH's next move will determine the structure for a long period ahead.

💎 My in-depth view:

The channel that many people see is just a simple connection of highs and lows.
But the real major cycle channel is the underlying trend structure of ETH's multi-year bull and bear cycles.

From its early lows, oscillating upward, through multiple bull runs and bear market retracements,
every major bottom rise and top fall of ETH has been contained within the rules of this channel.
This is the most genuine trajectory of the dominant force spanning years.

And now, at the monthly level, the price has precisely touched the support level of the channel's lower edge.
The major cycle's life-or-death battle between bulls and bears has officially begun.

At this stage, you must keep a close eye on these core zones:

$2200 – $2300
ETH's super long-term monthly ascending channel standard lower edge support,
also the last structural defense line for this round of bulls.

$2000
The strongest integer psychological level across the entire network.
Once the major channel structure is briefly broken, this will be the first zone of dense capital demand with extremely strong absorption.

$1750 – $1800
The ultimate bottom range for extreme bear-trap sell-offs,
corresponding to the historical bear market dense chip bottom, a safety margin zone after oversold conditions.

Here I am also applying the same BTC major cycle logic:

Even if the price briefly pierces below the channel's lower edge in the short term,
it is very likely still a fake breakdown, a washout breakdown, rather than a true trend break.

To distinguish between fake and real breakdowns, only look at one core factor: volume structure

If it's a plummet with heavy volume breaking through the lower edge:
It's a genuine bearish dump, significantly increasing the probability of a weakening trend, destroying the major cycle structure.

If it's a slight pierce with shrinking volume and gradual decline:
It's a typical concentrated panic selling, with retail holders finally cutting losses and exiting.
This kind of breakdown is not a continuation of bears, but rather a major cycle bottom signal.

In summary, one sentence:
The ETH $2200 zone is the most critical major cycle demarcation line this year.
The gain or loss here will directly determine the subsequent trend direction. Keep a close watch 📉

⚠️ Risk Warning: This is only a technical cycle review analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Crypto assets are extremely volatile. View the market rationally and participate with caution.#BTC下探60000美元关键关口 #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #USD1链上质押享年化9.48% @Gate Live $BTC $GT $ETH