📊 A very strange phenomenon is unfolding on the ETH monthly chart.

Since the start of Ethereum from the bottom of a major cycle,
for many years, it has been steadily running within a super long-term ascending channel.

But the recent monthly chart trend has shown clear anomalies—
the price is approaching the lower edge of this multi-year large-cycle channel.

$ETH The monthly large chart has now reached the most critical tipping point of the entire cycle.

Most people in the market are lagging behind;
only when the market fully breaks down and the trend becomes visible to the naked eye will everyone follow and react.

True major cycle turning points always happen when no one has reacted yet.
It’s recommended to bookmark this. The next move of ETH will determine the outlook for a long period to come.

💎 My in-depth view:

What many people see as a channel is just simple high and low point connections.
But a real major-cycle channel is the underlying trend structure of ETH’s several years of bull and bear markets.

From early lows oscillating upward, to multiple bull runs and bear market pullbacks,
every major bottom rise and top decline of ETH has been constrained within this channel rule.
This is the most genuine trajectory of the dominant players, spanning several years.

And now, on the monthly level, the price is precisely touching the lower edge support of the channel.
The major-cycle battle between bulls and bears has officially begun.

At this stage, we must closely watch these core zones:

$2200 – $2300
The standard lower edge support of ETH’s super long-term monthly ascending channel,
and also the last structural defense line for the current bulls.

$2000
The strongest psychological integer level across the entire network.
If the large channel structure is briefly broken, this will be the first dense demand zone, with extremely strong absorption.

$1750 – $1800
The ultimate bottom range for extreme bear traps and kills,
corresponding to the historical bear market dense bottom area, belonging to the safety margin zone after oversold conditions.

Here I synchronously apply the same BTC major-cycle logic:

Even if there is a short-term spike below the channel lower edge,
it is very likely still a false breakdown, a washout breakdown, rather than a true trend breakdown.

To distinguish true from false breakdowns, only one core factor matters: volume structure

If it is a high-volume crash breaking the lower edge:
It is real short-selling by bears, significantly increasing the probability of trend weakening, damaging the major-cycle structure.

If it is a low-volume gradual decline with a slight spike below:
It is a typical concentrated panic sell-off and the final exit of retail positions.
Such a breakdown is not a continuation of bearish movement, but rather a major-cycle bottom signal.

In summary:
The $2200 zone for ETH is the most critical major-cycle dividing line this year.
The outcome here will directly determine the direction of the subsequent trend. Focus closely on 📉

⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is merely a technical cycle trend review and analysis. It does not constitute any investment advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Approach the market rationally and participate cautiously.#BTC下探60000美元关键关口 #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #USD1链上质押享年化9.48% @Gate Live $BTC $GT $ETH