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📊 A very strange thing is happening on the ETH monthly chart
Since the start of the current major cycle bottom,
Ethereum has been steadily operating within a super-long-term ascending channel for years.
But the recent monthly chart movement has shown clear anomalies—
the price is approaching the lower edge of this multi-year large-cycle channel.
$ETH The monthly chart is now at the most critical tipping point of the entire cycle.
Most people in the market are lagging behind;
only when the trend visibly breaks down will everyone follow and react.
Real major cycle turning points always happen before anyone realizes it.
Suggestion: bookmark this now. The next moves of ETH will determine the landscape for a long period ahead.
💎 My deep perspective:
Many people see a channel as just simple high-low trendlines.
But a true major cycle channel is the underlying trend structure of ETH’s multi-year bull-bear cycles.
From the early lows moving sideways and up, through several bull runs and bear market corrections,
every major bottom raise and top fall of ETH has been precisely within this channel’s rules.
This is the most real, multi-year footprint of major players.
And now, the monthly-level price is precisely touching the lower support of this channel,
the multi-cycle battle between bulls and bears has officially begun.
At this stage, you must closely watch these core zones:
$2200 – $2300
The standard lower edge support of ETH’s super-long-term monthly ascending channel,
also the last structural defense line for the current bulls.
$2000
The strongest psychological integer level across the market,
if the large channel structure is briefly breached, this will be the first dense liquidity zone with extremely strong support.
$1750 – $1800
The ultimate bottom zone for extreme bear traps and panic selloffs,
corresponding to historical bear market dense bottoms, a safe margin area after oversold conditions.
I’m also applying the same BTC major cycle logic here:
Even if a short-term spike below the channel lower edge occurs,
it is very likely a fake breakdown, a washout breakdown, rather than a true trend break.
To distinguish real from fake breakdown, only one key factor matters: volume structure.
If it is a high-volume crash breaking below:
it’s a real bearish sell-off, significantly increasing the probability of trend weakness, damaging the major cycle structure.
If it is a low-volume drift slightly breaking below:
that’s a typical concentrated panic sell-off, retail selling their last positions,
this breakdown is not a continuation of bear momentum but a major cycle bottom signal.
One sentence summary:
The ETH $2200 zone is the most critical major cycle dividing line of this year.
The outcome here directly determines the subsequent trend direction. Keep a close watch 📉
⚠️ Risk disclaimer: This is solely a technical cycle trend review and analysis, not investment advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile. Stay rational and participate cautiously.#BTC下探60000美元关键关口 #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #USD1链上质押享年化9.48% @Gate Live $BTC $GT $ETH