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📊 A very strange phenomenon is unfolding on the ETH monthly chart
Since the start of Ethereum from the bottom of a major cycle,
for many years, it has been steadily operating within a super long-term upward channel.
But the recent monthly chart trend has shown clear anomalies—
the price is approaching the lower edge of this multi-year major cycle channel.
$ETH The monthly big picture has now reached the most critical inflection point of the entire cycle.
Most people in the market are lagging behind;
only when the market fully breaks down and the trend becomes visible to the naked eye will everyone follow.
True major cycle turning points always happen before anyone realizes it.
Suggest bookmarking this—ETH's next moves will determine the structure for a long period ahead.
💎 My in-depth view:
What many people see as a channel is just a simple connection of highs and lows.
But a true major cycle channel is the underlying trend structure of ETH's years of bull and bear runs.
From early lows oscillating upward, through multiple bull runs and bear market pullbacks,
every major bottom lift and top pullback of ETH has been strictly contained within this channel rule.
This is the most authentic trajectory of the dominant forces, spanning years.
And now, at the monthly level, the price is precisely touching the lower edge support of the channel,
and the major cycle battle between bulls and bears has officially begun.
At this stage, you must keep a close watch on these core zones:
$2200 – $2300
The standard lower edge support of ETH's super long-term monthly upward channel,
also the last structural defense line for the current bulls.
$2000
The strongest whole-number psychological level across the entire network,
once the large channel structure is briefly broken, this will be the first dense demand zone, with extremely strong support.
$1750 – $1800
The ultimate bottom zone for extreme bear traps and selloffs,
corresponding to the dense bottom of historical bear market chips, a safe margin zone after oversold conditions.
I am also applying the same BTC major cycle logic here:
Even if there is a short-term spike below the channel's lower edge,
it is highly likely still a fake breakdown, a washout breakdown, not a true trend break.
To distinguish a real breakdown from a fake one, only look at one core metric: volume structure.
If it's a high-volume crash breaking the lower edge:
This is a real short-selling attack, significantly increasing the probability of trend weakening, damaging the major cycle structure.
If it's a low-volume gradual decline with a small spike below:
This is a typical panic-driven concentrated selling, the last round of retail holders exiting their positions.
Such a breakdown is not a continuation of the bear trend but rather a bottom signal for a major cycle.
In summary:
ETH's $2200 zone is the most critical major cycle boundary this year.
Gains or losses here will directly determine the subsequent trend direction. Focus on 📉
⚠️ Risk disclaimer: This is solely a technical cycle trend review and analysis, and does not constitute any investment advice. Crypto assets are highly volatile—approach the market rationally and participate cautiously.#BTC下探60000美元关键关口 #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #USD1链上质押享年化9.48% @Gate Live $BTC $GT $ETH