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📊 Something very strange is unfolding on the ETH monthly chart.
Since Ethereum started from a major cycle bottom,
for years, it has been steadily operating within a super long-term ascending channel.
But recent monthly trends have shown clear anomalies—
the price is approaching the lower boundary of this multi-year major cycle channel.
$ETH The monthly big picture has now reached the most critical inflection point.
The vast majority of the market is lagging behind;
only when the price completely breaks down and the trend becomes visible to the naked eye will everyone react in herd mentality.
The true major cycle turning point always occurs when no one has realized it yet.
Recommend bookmarking this. ETH's next move will determine the pattern for a long period ahead.
💎 My in-depth view:
The channel many people see is just a simple line connecting highs and lows.
But the real major cycle channel is the underlying trend structure of ETH's years of bull and bear cycles.
From early lows oscillating upward, through multiple bull runs and bearish pullbacks,
every major bottom raising and top falling of ETH has been precisely contained within this channel rule.
This is the most real trajectory of the main force spanning years.
And now, at the monthly level, the price is precisely touching the lower boundary support of the channel,
the major cycle battle between bulls and bears has officially begun.
At this stage, you must closely watch these key zones:
$2200 – $2300
Standard lower boundary support of ETH's super long-term monthly ascending channel,
and also the last structural defense line for this bull cycle.
$2000
The strongest integer psychological level across the market,
once the major channel structure is briefly broken, this will be the first concentrated demand zone with extremely strong support.
$1750 – $1800
The ultimate bottom zone for extreme bear trap and washout,
corresponding to the historical bear market accumulation bottom, a margin of safety after oversold conditions.
Here I am applying the same BTC major cycle logic:
Even if there is a short-term action that pierces the lower channel boundary,
it is still very likely a fake breakdown, a shakeout, rather than a true trend breakout.
To distinguish real from fake breakouts, only look at one core thing: volume structure.
If it is a high-volume crash breaking through the lower boundary:
it belongs to genuine bearish selling, significantly increasing the probability of trend weakening and major cycle structure damage.
If it is a low-volume gradual decline with a slight pierce:
it is a typical concentrated panic sell-off, retail investors' final capitulation,
such a breakdown is not a continuation of the bearish trend, but rather a major cycle bottom signal.
In summary:
The ETH $2200 zone is the most critical major cycle dividing line this year.
The gain or loss here directly determines the direction of the subsequent trend. Keep a close watch 📉
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is only a technical cycle trend review analysis and does not constitute any investment advice. Crypto assets are extremely volatile. View the market rationally and participate cautiously. #BTC下探60000美元关键关口 #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #USD1链上质押享年化9.48% @Gate Live $BTC $GT $ETH