Standard Chartered predicts Aave token will rise 50 times by 2030, with a target price of $3,500. In the same report, Bitcoin's target is $500k and Ethereum's is $40k.


This kind of research report is not for traders, but for asset management clients. What Standard Chartered wants to promote is tokenized asset custody and lending business—Aave is just the showcase they've chosen.
Aave V4 is moving traditional bonds and stocks onto the chain, and Standard Chartered itself is also testing on-chain credit. Calling for a higher token price is essentially marketing its own RWA infrastructure.
But the 50x prediction relies on an implicit assumption: that the on-chain lending market can eat into traditional finance's small change by 2030. This assumption currently has no data to support it.
Currently, Aave's total value locked is about $20 billion, most of which is still crypto-native assets, with RWA accounting for a very low proportion. To achieve 50x, TVL needs to exceed the trillion-dollar level, and Aave must maintain its market share.
Institutional research reports' bullish target prices often appear during periods of asset price weakness. They create narratives, not signals.
The risk is that if the progress of RWA on-chain falls short of expectations, or if regulators impose restrictions on on-chain credit, such research reports will become contrarian indicators.
What you should really be watching is the actual adoption data of Aave V4, not the pie in the sky drawn by Standard Chartered.
$btc #aave #eth #v4 #defi
AAVE5.35%
BTC-2.20%
ETH-4.54%
RWA1.13%
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