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FIFA World Cup 2026 June 22 - 2 Matches, Polymarket Odds and My Predictions

Match 1: Argentina vs Austria (Group J, 1PM ET, Arlington)

Argentina crushed Algeria 3-0 in their opener. Messi scored a hat-trick tying Klose's all-time World Cup scoring record at 16 goals. One more goal today makes Messi the sole record holder. Argentina top Group J with 3 points and a +3 goal difference. A win today combined with Jordan not beating Algeria guarantees Group J knockout advancement.

Austria beat Jordan 3-1, their first World Cup win since 1990. Manager Ralf Rangnick, the renowned pressing tactician, admitted he found zero weaknesses in Argentina after deep analysis. Key players Alaba, Sabitzer, Laimer, and Arnautovic give Austria genuine quality and organization.

Polymarket odds: Argentina 64% win, Austria 14.5%, Draw 21.5%. Argentina 85% to win Group J. Messi 51% to score, 61% to score or assist.

My prediction: Argentina wins 2-1. Messi breaks the all-time scoring record, Austria grabs a counter-attack goal, but Argentina's superior quality prevails and secures Round of 32 advancement.

Match 2: France vs Iraq (Group I, 5PM ET, Philadelphia)

France opened with a 3-1 win over Senegal. Mbappe scored a brace, now has 14 World Cup goals and is chasing the all-time record himself. France lead Group I with 3 points and are priced at 18.5% on Polymarket to win the entire tournament.

Iraq lost to Norway in their opener and sit bottom of Group I with zero points. Their compact defense offers limited resistance against France's elite attacking firepower.

Polymarket odds: France 88.5% win, Iraq roughly 2%, Draw 9-10%. France 78% to win Group I. Iraq just 0.2% to advance from the group at all.

My prediction: France wins 3-0. Mbappe scores at least once, France's depth overwhelms Iraq after brief early resistance. Group I leadership confirmed heading into the Norway clash on June 26.

Bonus Pick: Norway vs Senegal (Group I, 8PM ET, MetLife)

Haaland scored twice in his World Cup debut for Norway. Senegal lost 3-1 to France but have Mane and Jackson. Polymarket: Norway 60%, Senegal 20%, Draw 20%. Norway 21.5% to advance, Senegal 1.6%.

My prediction: Norway wins 2-1. Haaland is the decisive difference-maker against a Senegal defense that was already exposed by Mbappe.

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#WorldCup2026 #Argentina #France #Messi
ETH0.42%
GT0.44%
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ARG VS AUT
Argentina
1.20x
83%
Draw
6.67x
15%
Austria
35.71x
2.8%
$22.96M Vol
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BlackBullion_Alpha
· 17m ago
Bull Run 🐂
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BlackBullion_Alpha
· 17m ago
HODL Tight 💪
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Yunna
· 1h ago
LFG 🔥
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discovery
· 1h ago
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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