#IP Periodic Game Theory Approach (Theoretical Deduction Only; Not Recommended for Practical Use)

(1) Short-term speculation (1–4 weeks, high risk)

Core idea: Only act on event-driven catalysts; don’t blindly bottom-fish.

1. Entry conditions: Market sentiment rebounds + an IP-related sudden positive official announcement + trading volume surges and breaks through short-term resistance; use small positions to enter and exit quickly, without lingering;
2. Risk control: Set strict stop-losses in advance (5%~10% below the entry price); when the price rallies but volume increases without follow-through, take profit immediately—don’t “hold and wait” for a long-term run;
3. Taboos: Don’t buy in stages to bottom-fish during a low-volume, drifting-down move—it easily traps you deeper and deeper.

(2) Mid-term swing trading (1–6 months, neutral to bearish)

1. Optimistic scenario (low probability): The AI + IPFi sector becomes a market hotspot; projects deliver beyond expectations; buy the dip based on key support, reduce positions in stages at resistance levels, and run swing arbitrage;
2. Neutral scenario (high probability): Trade with the broader market’s sideways consolidation, with price moving back and forth within the upper and lower ranges; without a directional trend, the trade-off is poor;
3. Pessimistic scenario (relatively high probability): The narrative cools off + unlocking-related sell pressure stacks up; your focus gradually shifts downward—mainly remain in observation with cash, and don’t easily set up medium-term long positions.

(3) Long-term holding (more than half a year, extremely high risk; not recommended)

Ordinary investors are not advised to hold small-cap public-chain “niche” coins with a long-term heavy allocation.

Investments carry risk; enter the market with caution!