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Oil prices fell by more than 10% over 5 days, and historical data suggests that the subsequent performance of the U.S. stock market may remain relatively strong.
BlockBeats News, June 17th, according to SentimenTrader statistics, crude oil prices have fallen a total of 10.31% over the past 5 trading days, while the long-term U.S. Treasury ETF TLT has risen 1.30%.
Historical data shows that since 2008, when the market experiences a similar "sharp decline in oil prices and rise in U.S. Treasuries" combination, the probability that the S&P 500 index will rise within the next year reaches 85%, with a median increase of about 17.04% after one year. This market pattern usually indicates that inflationary pressures are rapidly easing and financial conditions are becoming more accommodative.