Based on Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationship, Order Flow, and Price Action Analysis of BTC Short-term Trends (Strategy Recommendations)


$BTC Comprehensive Judgment
Dow Theory indicates that the main trend remains downward but signals that the downward momentum is significantly weakening; the short-term trend has shifted from "steep ascent" to "oscillating downward," with key levels at 67,000 (upside) and 65,000 (downside).
Chan Theory shows that upward strokes are extremely strong (+2,066 and +1,928), but downward strokes are equally strong (-1,936), currently in a low-range oscillation phase following a downward extension.
Wave Theory confirms that the five-wave decline has completed, and the ABC rebound Wave C is unfolding (+6,469), but the crash on June 16 indicates complex adjustments within Wave C.
Volume-Price Relationship shows signals of a massive volume drop on June 14 + even larger volume surge at the close + massive volume breakout on June 15 + massive volume drop on June 16, indicating fierce battle between bulls and bears.
Order Flow shows POC at 65,700; price has returned near POC, with bulls and bears approaching equilibrium, and Delta MA12 falling near the zero line.
Price Action displays "Hammer" + "Bullish Engulfing" + "Bearish Engulfing" patterns, indicating intense short-term battle between bulls and bears, with 65,000 being a critical support/resistance level.

Short-term Strategy Recommendations:

Bullish Bias: If the price shows decreasing volume and halts decline near 65,000–65,500 + forms a bottom pattern + Delta turns positive, consider going long, targeting 66,500 → 67,000, with a stop loss at 64,500.

Bearish Bias: If the rebound reaches near 66,500–67,000 and forms a top pattern with increasing volume and decline, confirming Wave C rebound failure + the start of a downward impulsive wave, consider short positions, targeting 65,000 → 64,000, with a stop loss at 67,200.

Current State: 65,984 is in a correction phase after Wave C's surge, with fierce short-term battle between bulls and bears. It is recommended to wait for a pullback to 65,000–65,500 to confirm support before considering long positions, or wait for a break above 67,000 to confirm trend reversal before chasing the rally. If it falls below 65,000, Wave C has failed, and further downside risk should be watched carefully.
BTC0.46%
View Original
post-image
post-image
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
No comments