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Bitcoin overall shows a oscillating downward trend, starting to fall from the high point around 66,428 early this morning, gradually breaking below short-term support during the oscillation, with the lowest dip reaching the 65,213 area. Ethereum's movement is highly correlated with Bitcoin, starting its downward trend from the high of 3,128, dropping to the low of 3,075, showing a consistent weak follow-through, with the market's correlation becoming prominent.
On the daily chart, the downward channel continues to expand in an orderly manner. After experiencing a short-term weak rebound and a brief false breakout, the market has successfully shifted to a steady oscillating downward rhythm. The bearish momentum is gradually released, driving the moving average system into a synchronized resonant downtrend, indicating that the market trend has clearly reverted to a bearish dominance, and this downward trend has strong persistence and structural stability. The four-hour chart continues to show a weak decline pattern, with prices consistently constrained by the lower boundary of the channel, reflecting a unilateral weak downward technical characteristic, further solidifying the daily trend foundation. Currently, the market pace indicates that bearish forces are still accumulating, and the short-term rebounds are not trend reversal signals but typical false breakout moves designed to trap bulls and prepare for further declines, accumulating energy for the next leg down. Today's early operations should focus on rebound-based short positions, with key resistance zones at 66,200-66,500, and support levels at 65,000 and the 64,500 Fibonacci 0.236 retracement level. A break below these supports would open further downside space toward 63,800-64,000.
Specific trading suggestions: Pay attention to the resistance near 66,500, 67,500, and 68,300. If these levels hold without breaking, consider trying short positions from higher levels, targeting a 500-6000 point decline. Focus on whether 68,300 can be broken and stabilized; a break and stabilization could be seen as a trend reversal signal.
#预测世界杯阿根廷vs阿尔及利亚