Futures
Access hundreds of perpetual contracts
CFD
Gold
One platform for global traditional assets
Options
Hot
Trade European-style vanilla options
Unified Account
Maximize your capital efficiency
Demo Trading
Introduction to Futures Trading
Learn the basics of futures trading
Futures Events
Join events to earn rewards
Demo Trading
Use virtual funds to practice risk-free trading
CFD
U.S. stock CFD derivatives
US Stocks
Access real US stocks and ETFs
HK Stocks
Trade quality Hong Kong-listed stocks
Stock Futures
High leverage, 24/7 trading
Tokenized Stocks
Backed by real stock assets
IPO Access
Unlock full access to global stock IPOs
GUSD
Mint GUSD for Treasury RWA yields
Stocks Activities
Trade Popular Stocks and Unlock Generous Airdrops
Launch
CandyDrop
Collect candies to earn airdrops
Launchpool
Quick staking, earn potential new tokens
HODLer Airdrop
Hold GT and get massive airdrops for free
IPO Access
Unlock full access to global stock IPOs
Alpha Points
Trade on-chain assets and earn airdrops
Futures Points
Earn futures points and claim airdrop rewards
Promotions
AI
Gate AI
Your all-in-one conversational AI partner
Gate AI Bot
Use Gate AI directly in your social App
GateClaw
Gate Blue Lobster, ready to go
Gate for AI Agent
AI infrastructure, Gate MCP, Skills, and CLI
Gate Skills Hub
10K+ Skills
From office tasks to trading, the all-in-one skill hub makes AI even more useful.
Added some positions $HOOD
The logic is as follows:
Robinhood's predicted market-related revenue for Q1 2026 (the "other transaction revenue" in the financial report) is about $147 million, a 320% year-over-year increase, corresponding to a total net income of $1.07 billion in Q1, accounting for about 14%.
But this is money that needs to be paid to Kalshi, and on June 4th, before the World Cup, they switched to using their own Rothera for prediction markets, so no payments are needed, and with the World Cup volume, gross profit will inevitably grow.
June data (early July) → World Cup wrap-up (7/19) → Q2 financial report (8/5) is a continuous chain of catalysts. Currently, the market's estimated annualized return for Robinhood is $586 million. If the actual results exceed expectations, then the current stock price isn't expensive, and there could be another wave.
Today, during layoffs, the company mentioned a very valuable point: "The company said that since June, the average daily trading volume in stocks, options, and prediction markets has been at record levels." So, this indirectly confirms that the World Cup has brought unprecedented revenue to their prediction market products, which is more valuable than the layoffs news itself.
Therefore, I think before the final results are announced on August 5th, the market is more likely to speculate positively.
I added a bit of position as a recognition of the certainty of today's news, then watch subsequent orders and see if the FOMC turns hawkish to pick up some cheap assets.